Indian Stock Market Pre-Market Analysis (12 Aug 2025) — Nifty Eyes 25,300, Key Breakouts to Watch
By CapitalKeeper | Pre Market Opening | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Pre-market insights for 12 Aug 2025: Nifty, Bank Nifty, Sensex, and Fin Nifty technical analysis with GIFT Nifty cues, sector trends, OI data, and breakout stocks including DOMS, Webel Solar, SRF, Tech Mahindra, and Alembic Ltd.
PRE-MARKET ANALYSIS – 12th AUGUST 2025: Indian Stock Market Poised for Positive Momentum as Short Covering Builds
Closing Snapshot (11th August 2025)
- Nifty 50: 24,585.05 (+0.91%)
- Bank Nifty: 55,510.75 (+0.92%)
- Sensex: 80,604.08 (+0.94%)
- Fin Nifty: 26,405.80 (+0.91%)
The Indian equity markets ended Monday on a strong note, led by short covering in index heavyweights and a rebound from crucial technical support zones. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty broke past their intraday resistances, supported by positive divergence on the hourly charts and strong Open Interest (OI) data.
With Gift Nifty trading higher in early morning cues, the market seems set for a gap-up opening on Tuesday, but the real momentum will depend on whether Nifty sustains above the 24,660 resistance zone.
Global Cues: Risk-On Sentiment Builds
- US Markets: Wall Street closed in the green on Monday, with the Dow Jones up 0.52%, S&P 500 up 0.60%, and Nasdaq gaining 0.85%, buoyed by easing US bond yields and optimism over upcoming CPI inflation data.
- Asian Markets: Early trade in Asia shows Nikkei 225 up 0.40%, Hang Seng +0.55%, and Kospi +0.48%, indicating a positive regional setup.
- Commodities:
- Brent Crude holds around $81.50/bbl, steady as demand expectations balance with supply-side caution.
- Gold remains stable near $2,410/oz, as traders await US inflation numbers.
- Currency: USD/INR closed near 83.02, with limited volatility expected ahead of domestic CPI data.
Technical Overview – Nifty 50
Hourly Chart Analysis:
- The index has reversed sharply from the support area near 24,430–24,440, which coincides with a rising trendline breakout on the hourly timeframe.
- Positive Divergence on RSI indicates potential for further upside.
- OI data suggests heavy short covering in Call options and fresh Put writing between 24,300–24,500, giving strong immediate support.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Upside Resistance: 24,660 / 24,780 / 25,200–25,300
- Downside Support: 24,430–24,440 / 24,300
Trading Outlook: A sustained move above 24,660 could trigger a short covering rally towards 25,200–25,300. However, failure to hold above 24,430 would weaken the momentum.
Technical Overview – Bank Nifty
- Bank Nifty also mirrored Nifty’s action, rebounding from 54,900–55,000 support and closing comfortably above 55,500.
- Positive divergence on the hourly RSI, combined with short covering in major banking stocks, suggests upside potential towards 55,950–56,200.
- Support now lies at 55,100–54,950.
Sector-Wise Performance & Outlook
1. Banking & Financials – Positive
Private banking majors like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Axis Bank saw fresh buying interest. NBFCs like Bajaj Finance showed strong recovery, indicating risk appetite returning to financials.
Key Watch: Bank Nifty may lead the rally if PSU banks join the move.
2. IT Sector – Mildly Positive
IT heavyweights like Infosys and TCS ended higher, supported by weakness in the dollar index. Midcap IT like Tech Mahindra and Persistent Systems could see fresh breakouts.
3. Auto Sector – Mixed
Two-wheelers underperformed, but Tata Motors and M&M showed resilience. EV-linked stocks remain in momentum.
4. FMCG – Range-Bound
Defensive buying in FMCG is slowing down, with a shift towards cyclicals. However, HUL and ITC maintain crucial supports.
5. Energy & Power – Strong
Power stocks like NTPC, Tata Power, and IEX remain in focus due to strong demand outlook and technical support reversals.
Stocks to Keep on Radar (Short-Term Technical Picks)
1. DOMS Industries (CMP ₹2503)
- Setup: Trendline breakout with volume confirmation.
- Technical Indicator: Positive MACD on daily timeframe.
- Support: ₹2290–₹2300
- View: Bullish for short term; momentum buying likely above ₹2525.
2. Webel Solar (CMP ₹1448)
- Setup: Trendline breakout supported by higher volumes.
- Technical Indicator: Positive MACD on daily chart.
- Support: ₹1320–₹1330
- View: Short-term bullish, could head towards ₹1520–₹1550 if momentum sustains.
3. SRF Ltd. (CMP ₹2878)
- Options Trade: 3000 CE @ ₹31
- Stop Loss: ₹19
- Target: ₹45–₹65
- View: Positive structure with possibility of a breakout above ₹2920.
4. Tech Mahindra (CMP ₹1482)
- Options Trade: 1500 CE – Buy near ₹17, SL ₹12, Targets ₹27–₹35–₹44.
- View: Positive structure; momentum likely if IT sector outperforms.
5. Alembic Ltd. (CMP ₹108.10)
- Cash Buy: Target ₹115, SL ₹105.
- View: Support holding; possible bounce towards ₹118–₹120.
6. IEX Ltd. (CMP ₹138.04) (From prior watchlist – still valid)
- Reversed from historical support zone with a double bottom pattern.
- Strong support at ₹130–₹125; if held, long-term potential for ₹300+.
Derivative Insights
- Nifty:
- CE Short Covering: 24,500–24,800 strikes
- PE Writing: 24,300–24,500 strikes (strong base)
- Bank Nifty:
- CE Short Covering: 55,500–55,800 strikes
- PE Writing: 54,900–55,200 strikes
Interpretation: The derivative data supports a bullish bias for the day, but only if key resistance levels are crossed early in the session.
Conclusion – Game Plan for the Day
The combination of technical breakout signals, short covering in derivatives, and positive global cues sets a bullish undertone for Tuesday’s session.
However, traders should remember that 24,660 (Nifty) and 55,950 (Bank Nifty) are key breakout levels – until these are decisively crossed, the rally could face intraday resistance.
Intraday Strategy:
- Look for buy-on-dip opportunities near supports (Nifty 24,430 / Bank Nifty 55,100).
- Focus on momentum stocks with breakout confirmations like DOMS, Webel Solar, and Tech Mahindra.
- Manage risk with strict stop losses given the volatile global backdrop.
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Ranjit Sahoo
Founder & Chief Editor – CapitalKeeper.in
Ranjit Sahoo is the visionary behind CapitalKeeper.in, a leading platform for real-time market insights, technical analysis, and investment strategies. With a strong focus on Nifty, Bank Nifty, sector trends, and commodities, she delivers in-depth research that helps traders and investors make informed decisions.
Passionate about financial literacy, Ranjit blends technical precision with market storytelling, ensuring even complex concepts are accessible to readers of all levels. Her work covers pre-market analysis, intraday strategies, thematic investing, and long-term portfolio trends.
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