PRE-MARKET REPORT – 20th June 2025 (Friday)
Markets Await Global Signals Amid Range-Bound Mood | Sector Rotation Continues
By CapitalKeeper.in | Technical Outlook, Sector Trends & Global Cues
📊 Market Snapshot – 19th June 2025
| Index | Close | Day’s Movement | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,793.25 | 🔻 -19 pts | Consolidation |
| Bank Nifty | 55,577.45 | 🔻 -51 pts | Sideways with slight weakness |
| Sensex | 81,361.87 | 🔻 -82 pts | Flat overall |
| Fin Nifty | 26,299.65 | 🔻 -100 pts | Mild retreat |
🌐 Global Cues to Watch
- U.S. Fed Remains Dovish but Unclear
Powell held interest rates steady, with markets now expecting the next cut only by September. The “cloudy” outlook leaves bond and equity markets in a holding pattern. - Oil Volatility on Middle East Tensions
Geopolitical flare-ups keep Brent hovering around $82, while a slightly weaker U.S. dollar is limiting downside. - Equities Flat but Volatile
Global stocks were mixed post-Fed; S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended the session sideways. Asian markets are likely to open cautiously. - Dollar Strength & INR Pressure
The Dollar Index remains firm near 105.4 — pressuring the rupee and weighing on export-heavy sectors. - FII Selling Continues
Foreign outflows persisted through Thursday, adding to the cautious tone in midcaps and financials.
🔍 Nifty 50 – Technical Outlook
- Support: 24,700 / 24,580
- Resistance: 24,950 / 25,130
- Momentum: RSI 46; MACD remains weak
- Chart Structure: Narrow consolidation below 25K
📌 View: With no fresh triggers, expect continued range-bound action. Ideally, play intraday moves between 24,700–24,950.
🔎 Bank Nifty – Technical Levels
- Support: 55,300 / 55,100
- Resistance: 56,000 / 56,300
- Structure: Mild bearish bias; PSU banks outperforming
📌 View: Stay cautious below 56K; consider PSU banks for relative safety.
🔎 Fin Nifty – Chart View
- Support: 26,150 / 26,000
- Resistance: 26,600 / 26,800
- Momentum: Range-bound with neutral bias
📌 View: Solid levels around 26,150–26,300—trades range-bound until new trends emerge.
🏢 Sector-Wise Snapshot
✅ Strong/Stable Sectors
| Sector | Theme & Momentum | Top Picks |
|---|---|---|
| FMCG | Defensive rotation; steady consumption | ITC, Britannia, Marico |
| Fertilizers | Monsoon optimism; budget highlights | Coromandel, Chambal, GNFC |
| PSU Banks | Better than peers in current range | BoB, Canara, Union Bank |
⚠️ Under Pressure Sectors
| Sector | Pressure Points | Avoid |
|---|---|---|
| IT | Weak global tech, strong USD hurt earnings | Infosys, Wipro, TechM |
| Auto | High input costs, weak demand | Tata Motors, Hero Moto |
| Realty | Interest-sensitive sectors lack momentum | DLF, Sobha, Oberoi Realty |
🔎 Intraday Watchlist – 20th June 2025
| Stock | Action | Setup Reason |
|---|---|---|
| ITC | Buy | Stable trend near ₹428; defensive pick |
| Chambal Fert | Buy | Range breakout in fertilizer theme |
| Canara Bank | Buy | PSU bank strength; near ₹104 support |
| Infosys | Sell | Weak global cues; resistance test |
| Tata Motors | Sell | Weak auto chart; below ₹660 may fall |
🎯 Trading Strategy – Pre-Market Plan
| Index | Long Trigger | Short Trigger |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty | > 24,950 for 25,130 / 25,270 | < 24,700 for 24,580 / 24,500 |
| Bank Nifty | > 56,000 for 56,300 | < 55,300 for 55,100 |
| Fin Nifty | Buy on dips near 26,200–26,300 | Sell near 26,600 if fails to break |
🧠 Final Thoughts
Absent a significant catalyst, markets will likely remain range-bound and volatile. Sector rotation towards defensives like FMCG, fertilizers, and PSU banks is intact.
📌Key monitorables: Oil prices, rupee-dollar moves, FII flows, and volatility in Asian stocks post-global cues.
Trade cautiously — keep stop-losses tight and focus on technical triggers.
📈 More trade setups, sector deep-dives, and live updates are available at CapitalKeeper.in
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