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Weekly Market Wrap 16–20 June 2025 | Nifty Outlook, Midcap Momentum & Global Cues

Weekly Market Wrap 16–20 June 2025 | Nifty Outlook, Midcap Momentum & Global Cues

Weekly Market Wrap 16–20 June 2025 | Nifty Outlook, Midcap Momentum & Global Cues

By CapitalKeeper | Weekly Wrap-Up | Indian Sock Market | Market Moves That Matter I 22th June 2025


Catch CapitalKeeper’s detailed Weekly Wrap-Up for 16–20 June 2025. Understand Nifty, Bank Nifty, global trends, midcap action, and what to expect in the week ahead with key stock insights.

📌 Weekly Market Snapshot

IndexWeekly OpenWeekly CloseChange %Sentiment
NIFTY 5024,787.6525,112.40+1.31%Rangebound Bullish
BANK NIFTY55,567.7056,252.85+1.23%Stronger Momentum
SENSEX81,354.8582,408.17+1.29%Steady
FIN NIFTY26,294.1026,648.70+1.35%Recovered with Banks

🌍 Global Cues That Mattered

  1. US Fed Policy Signals Dovish Shift
    • The U.S. Fed hinted at no further rate hikes this year.
    • Inflation softened to 3.1% YoY — aiding risk-on sentiment.
  2. Asian Markets Steady
    • Japan’s Nikkei touched fresh highs; Shanghai consolidated.
    • Global tech continued rallying — supportive for Indian IT sentiment.
  3. Crude Oil Stable (~$83–85)
    • No inflationary spike — good for Indian macros.
  4. USD/INR Range-Bound (~₹83.40)
    • Foreign flows into Indian equities remained consistent.

📈 What Moved Indian Markets

🔼 Market Reaction: Calm with Bullish Undertones

  • Markets opened flat but gathered strength by mid-week as global cues aligned positively.
  • FII buying resumed marginally, while DII support stayed robust.
  • India VIX remained under 14, indicating confidence and stability in price action.

🧭 Sectoral Performance (16–20 June)

🔥 Outperformers

SectorKey Drivers
PSU BanksCanara Bank, Bank of Baroda led the rally on improved credit growth.
Power & EnergyNTPC, Tata Power surged with volume on strong demand outlook.
Capital GoodsElgi Equip, Siemens benefited from infra growth optimism.
Midcap PharmaStrides, Granules rose on product approvals and momentum.

❄️ Underperformers

SectorRemarks
FMCGITC weakness post-block deal; muted rural recovery.
MetalsWeak global demand weighed on Tata Steel, Hindalco.
Select ITConsolidation before Q1 earnings.
AutoMinor profit booking seen.

🔍 Midcap & Small Cap Stock Highlights

The broader market outshined Nifty again, especially stocks showing volume breakouts and trendline setups.

StockCMPWeekly MoveTechnical View
Clean Science₹1433+6.2%MACD positive divergence, volume spike
ITI Ltd₹309+5.9%Trendline breakout with rising OI
Dolat Algo₹100+7.1%Weekly MACD & RSI crossover
MHRIL₹363+4.5%Sustaining above resistance breakout
Snowman Logistics₹58+6.8%Weekly close above trendline

🔮 What to Expect Next Week (Starting 24 June 2025)

⚠️ Market Outlook

  • Nifty likely to trade between 24,900–25,500.
  • Bank Nifty could test 57,000 on sustained strength in PSU names.
  • Volatility may rise mid-week due to global macro data (US GDP & Eurozone inflation).

📊 Focus Themes

  • Continue riding midcap momentum, especially in:
    • Power & Infra (KEC Intl, IRCON)
    • Capital Goods (ABB, Bharat Bijlee)
    • Railways/Defense (Titagarh, BEML)
  • Watch for signs of rotation into:
    • Private Banks and
    • Consumer Discretionary stocks.

🧠 Pro Tips for Traders

  • Avoid overtrading: Use trailing stop-loss in profitable trades.
  • Focus on volume: All breakouts must be supported by strong volume.
  • Stick to risk-reward setups: Only enter trades with minimum 1:2 R:R ratio.
  • Plan Monday entries on Sunday — chart watchlists in advance.

📢 Key Events to Watch

  • US GDP Data – 26 June
  • Eurozone Inflation – 27 June
  • India Monthly Derivatives Expiry – 27 June
  • Corporate Results (Midcap-focused) Begin Trickle-In

🧾 Final Take

The Indian market continues to reflect macro strength with sectoral rotation in full swing. The midcap and small-cap space remains the hotspot for returns, but requires selectivity and disciplined exits. Global calm, domestic flows, and technical structure all support a buy-on-dips bias next week.

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line-1024x30 Weekly Market Wrap 16–20 June 2025 | Nifty Outlook, Midcap Momentum & Global Cues

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All views and opinions expressed are personal and do not reflect the official policy or position of any agency or organization. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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