Weekly Market Wrap 16–20 June 2025 | Nifty Outlook, Midcap Momentum & Global Cues
By CapitalKeeper | Weekly Wrap-Up | Indian Sock Market | Market Moves That Matter I 22th June 2025
Catch CapitalKeeper’s detailed Weekly Wrap-Up for 16–20 June 2025. Understand Nifty, Bank Nifty, global trends, midcap action, and what to expect in the week ahead with key stock insights.
📌 Weekly Market Snapshot
| Index | Weekly Open | Weekly Close | Change % | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY 50 | 24,787.65 | 25,112.40 | +1.31% | Rangebound Bullish |
| BANK NIFTY | 55,567.70 | 56,252.85 | +1.23% | Stronger Momentum |
| SENSEX | 81,354.85 | 82,408.17 | +1.29% | Steady |
| FIN NIFTY | 26,294.10 | 26,648.70 | +1.35% | Recovered with Banks |
🌍 Global Cues That Mattered
- US Fed Policy Signals Dovish Shift
- The U.S. Fed hinted at no further rate hikes this year.
- Inflation softened to 3.1% YoY — aiding risk-on sentiment.
- Asian Markets Steady
- Japan’s Nikkei touched fresh highs; Shanghai consolidated.
- Global tech continued rallying — supportive for Indian IT sentiment.
- Crude Oil Stable (~$83–85)
- No inflationary spike — good for Indian macros.
- USD/INR Range-Bound (~₹83.40)
- Foreign flows into Indian equities remained consistent.
📈 What Moved Indian Markets
🔼 Market Reaction: Calm with Bullish Undertones
- Markets opened flat but gathered strength by mid-week as global cues aligned positively.
- FII buying resumed marginally, while DII support stayed robust.
- India VIX remained under 14, indicating confidence and stability in price action.
🧭 Sectoral Performance (16–20 June)
🔥 Outperformers
| Sector | Key Drivers |
|---|---|
| PSU Banks | Canara Bank, Bank of Baroda led the rally on improved credit growth. |
| Power & Energy | NTPC, Tata Power surged with volume on strong demand outlook. |
| Capital Goods | Elgi Equip, Siemens benefited from infra growth optimism. |
| Midcap Pharma | Strides, Granules rose on product approvals and momentum. |
❄️ Underperformers
| Sector | Remarks |
|---|---|
| FMCG | ITC weakness post-block deal; muted rural recovery. |
| Metals | Weak global demand weighed on Tata Steel, Hindalco. |
| Select IT | Consolidation before Q1 earnings. |
| Auto | Minor profit booking seen. |
🔍 Midcap & Small Cap Stock Highlights
The broader market outshined Nifty again, especially stocks showing volume breakouts and trendline setups.
| Stock | CMP | Weekly Move | Technical View |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clean Science | ₹1433 | +6.2% | MACD positive divergence, volume spike |
| ITI Ltd | ₹309 | +5.9% | Trendline breakout with rising OI |
| Dolat Algo | ₹100 | +7.1% | Weekly MACD & RSI crossover |
| MHRIL | ₹363 | +4.5% | Sustaining above resistance breakout |
| Snowman Logistics | ₹58 | +6.8% | Weekly close above trendline |
🔮 What to Expect Next Week (Starting 24 June 2025)
⚠️ Market Outlook
- Nifty likely to trade between 24,900–25,500.
- Bank Nifty could test 57,000 on sustained strength in PSU names.
- Volatility may rise mid-week due to global macro data (US GDP & Eurozone inflation).
📊 Focus Themes
- Continue riding midcap momentum, especially in:
- Power & Infra (KEC Intl, IRCON)
- Capital Goods (ABB, Bharat Bijlee)
- Railways/Defense (Titagarh, BEML)
- Watch for signs of rotation into:
- Private Banks and
- Consumer Discretionary stocks.
🧠 Pro Tips for Traders
- Avoid overtrading: Use trailing stop-loss in profitable trades.
- Focus on volume: All breakouts must be supported by strong volume.
- Stick to risk-reward setups: Only enter trades with minimum 1:2 R:R ratio.
- Plan Monday entries on Sunday — chart watchlists in advance.
📢 Key Events to Watch
- US GDP Data – 26 June
- Eurozone Inflation – 27 June
- India Monthly Derivatives Expiry – 27 June
- Corporate Results (Midcap-focused) Begin Trickle-In
🧾 Final Take
The Indian market continues to reflect macro strength with sectoral rotation in full swing. The midcap and small-cap space remains the hotspot for returns, but requires selectivity and disciplined exits. Global calm, domestic flows, and technical structure all support a buy-on-dips bias next week.
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