Weekly Stock Market Sunday Digest 21–25 July 2025: Nifty Range, Midcap Rally & Sector Rotation Explained
By CapitalKeeper | Sunday Digest | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Sunday Digest
Market Recap: Sideways Nifty, Midcaps Take Charge
The Indian stock market navigated a week of mixed global cues and domestic consolidation, with Nifty holding its range while midcap and smallcap stocks stole the spotlight. Sector rotation continued — PSU banks, energy, and select pharma names surged, while IT and auto lagged amid profit booking.
Index Performance
| Index | 21 July Open | 25 July Close | Weekly Change | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY 50 | 25,010.35 | 24,837.00 | -0.69% | Rangebound Weakness |
| BANK NIFTY | 57,170.70 | 56,528.90 | -1.12% | Mildly Bearish |
| SENSEX | 82,096.51 | 81,463.09 | -0.77% | Consolidation |
| FIN NIFTY | 26,993.90 | 26,808.00 | -0.69% | Flat-to-Weak |
Global Cues Impact
- US Market: Strong corporate earnings from tech giants supported Nasdaq, but Fed comments on keeping rates “higher for longer” capped gains.
- Crude Oil: Hovered at $85/barrel, mildly inflationary for India’s import bill.
- China Stimulus Talks: Hints of infrastructure push in China provided sentiment boost to global metals.
- Dollar & INR: USD/INR stayed stable near 83.40; no FII shock outflows observed.
Sectoral Performance
Outperformers
- PSU Banks: Continued momentum in Canara Bank, PNB on improving credit growth.
- Pharma & Diagnostics: API-focused names like Laurus Labs and Suven rose after demand revival.
- Energy & Power: Tata Power, NTPC, Adani Green gained on renewable capacity expansion.
Underperformers
- IT Services: Infosys, Wipro corrected after muted Q1 guidance.
- Auto: Tata Motors, Bajaj Auto saw profit-booking post strong run-up.
- FMCG: Rangebound due to weak rural demand cues.
Midcap & Smallcap Rally Continues
The broader market outperformed frontline indices with volume-backed breakouts and trendline confirmations:
- Clean Science (₹1433) – Weekly MACD positive divergence; multiyear breakout intact.
- ITI Ltd. (₹309) – Narrow range breakout with RSI >65.
- Snowman Logistics (₹58) – Fresh weekly highs on volume surge.
- Walchandnagar (₹235) – Closed above major trendline; bullish setup.
- Dolat Algo (₹100) – Rising accumulation; MACD crossover positive.
Derivative Data & Sentiment
- Nifty PCR: 0.88 (Neutral-to-Slightly Bearish)
- India VIX: ~14 (Low Volatility)
- FII Index Longs: 21–22% (Moderate positioning)
Upcoming Week Outlook (28 July – 1 August 2025)
Technical Ranges
| Index | Support Levels | Resistance Levels | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,750 – 24,500 | 25,050 – 25,400 | Rangebound Upside |
| Bank Nifty | 56,100 – 55,700 | 57,200 – 57,700 | Mildly Bullish |
| Fin Nifty | 26,500 – 26,200 | 27,000 – 27,300 | Consolidation Zone |
Triggers to Watch
- US GDP Data – Key for global sentiment mid-week.
- F&O Monthly Expiry – Could lead to short covering in midcaps.
- Q1 Earnings – Auto, Banking, and Pharma results to drive stock-specific moves.
- Crude Oil Trend – Above $86 may bring inflation fears back.
CapitalKeeper Pro Tips
- Avoid chasing largecaps in consolidation; focus on volume-backed midcap breakouts.
- Trailing stop-loss is crucial — volatility may rise during expiry week.
- Combine RSI & MACD signals for confirmation of swing entries.
- Book partial profits in high beta smallcap names; stay nimble.
Final Word
The Indian market continues to show rotational resilience. While frontline indices consolidate, midcaps remain the alpha space for traders. Upcoming earnings and expiry week may offer sharp intraday opportunities, but discipline and strict SLs are key.
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