Top Market Insights & Small-Cap Stock Action for 23–27June 2025 | CapitalKeeper Sunday Digest
By CapitalKeeper | Sunday Digest | Indian Sock Market | Market Moves That Matter I 22th June 2025
🌍 Global Cues – Mixed But Manageable
- US Markets:
Wall Street ended the week slightly higher with Dow Jones and Nasdaq holding gains, driven by easing inflation data and Fed commentary hinting at a pause in rate hikes.
➤ Implication: Positive for global equities, especially emerging markets like India. - Asian Markets:
Japan’s Nikkei continued strong, while Chinese stocks saw minor corrections due to mixed industrial output and credit data.
➤ Implication: Indian markets may see rotational flows from foreign institutions into growth pockets. - Crude Oil:
Brent hovers around $83, showing stability. This reduces pressure on India’s import bill. - USD-INR:
INR remains stable around ₹83.45, aiding sentiment for FPIs.
🇮🇳 Indian Market Summary: Week Gone By
- NIFTY 50: Consolidated between 24,900–25,300.
- BANK NIFTY: Showed relative strength, closing near 56,000.
- India VIX: Remains below 14, suggesting continued calm.
🔎 Key Observations
- FII Index Long Position: Slight rise to 22% from 19% — mild positive bias.
- Nifty PCR: At 1.03 — balanced sentiment.
- Bank Nifty PCR: At 0.72 — bullish bias building up.
- India VIX: 14.25 — no panic selling expected.
🔼 What Worked: Mid & Small Cap Momentum
Last week, mid-cap and small-cap stocks outperformed, particularly in:
- Defence & Railways: Titagarh, BEML, BEL
- Capital Goods: Elgi Equip, AIA Engineering
- Power & Infra: NTPC, KEC Intl, IRCON
- Textiles & Chemicals: Gokex, Deepak Fert
Expect this rotation to continue early this week, especially as large-cap consolidation continues.
🧾 CapitalKeeper’s Week Ahead Outlook (23–27 June 2025)
📌 Index View
| Index | Immediate Support | Resistance Range | View |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY 50 | 24,850 / 24,700 | 25,300 / 25,500 | Rangebound / Buy on dips |
| BANK NIFTY | 55,500 / 54,900 | 56,300 / 57,200 | Positive Bias |
| FIN NIFTY | 26,400 / 26,200 | 26,800 / 27,000 | Accumulation Mode |
📊 Sector Outlook: Rotation Play
🚀 Likely Outperformers
- PSU Banks: Canara Bank, BoB, SBI
- Energy & Power: Tata Power, NTPC
- Midcap Pharma: Strides, Granules
- Rail Infra/Defence: IRCON, BEML, HAL
- Capital Goods: KEC, Bharat Bijlee, Elgi Equip
💤 Likely Underperformers
- Metals – Weak global demand
- FMCG – Valuation concerns
- Select IT Stocks – Earnings season caution
- Private Banks – Consolidation phase
💹 Trading Strategy for the Week
- Avoid Index Shorting: Low VIX and FII long build-up suggest downside is limited.
- Focus on Breakouts: Particularly in mid-cap momentum names with volume confirmation.
- Trail Profits Actively: Lock-in gains as profit-booking expected at higher levels.
- Avoid Overexposure: Stick to technically strong setups with tight stop losses.
📈 Mid & Small-Cap Radar (Actionable Stocks)
| Stock | CMP | Technical Signal | View |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITI Ltd | ₹309 | Trendline breakout, MACD +ve | Target: ₹350–₹375 |
| Snowman Log | ₹59 | Volume surge, breakout zone | Target: ₹66–₹72 |
| Elgi Equip | ₹510 | RSI & MACD bullish divergence | Target: ₹585–₹600 |
| Clean Science | ₹1406 | Weekly MACD divergence, breakout | Target: ₹1550–₹1600 |
| MHRIL | ₹337 | Trendline breakout, support ₹320 | Target: ₹400–₹420 |
🧠 Tips for New Traders
- Master 2–3 indicators: Don’t overload. Start with RSI, MACD & Support/Resistance.
- Review Weekly Charts: Look beyond intraday noise.
- Track Volume: No breakout is valid without strong volume.
- Follow CapitalKeeper Daily Updates: Consistency > Complication.
🧾 Summary View
- Expect sector rotation and stock-specific action to continue.
- Stay focused on mid & small caps with breakout confirmation.
- Global cues remain neutral to mildly positive.
- RBI rate cycle is done for now — liquidity to favor growth.
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