Weekly Market Wrap (June 30 – July 4, 2025): Nifty & Sensex Flat, INR Steady, Gold & Silver Firm
By CapitalKeeper | Weekly Wrap-Up | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
📊 Weekly Wrap-Up: Indian Stock Market, INR & Commodities
Period: June 30 – July 4, 2025
Indian equities consolidate amid trade optimism; Nifty ends flat near 25,460, INR holds steady, gold touches ₹96,990/10g, silver around ₹108,116/kg. Explore detailed insights!
1. Equities Snapshot
📌 Nifty 50 & Sensex
- Nifty 50 swung mildly, closing flat at 25,461, up just 0.22% on Friday .
- Sensex rose 193 pts to 83,433, ending a brief two-day slump.
Drivers:
- Mixed outlook on US-India trade talks and SEBI’s action versus Jane Street created cautious.
- Sectoral performance varied: Financials, IT, oil & gas, realty saw gains; metals, auto, telecom lagged.
2. Bank Nifty & Fin Nifty
While week’s intraday movements were modest, financials held momentum Bank Nifty and Fin Nifty ended the week marginally higher, supported by strength in HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Bajaj Finance.
3. Currency – Rupee (INR)
- The INR/USD pair remained largely stable. It hovered around ₹85.44–85.48, with only a -0.18% move on July 3.
- Over the week, it ended flat as traders awaited developments in trade negotiations and Fed policy.
Market drivers:
- Dollar weakness, trade optimism, and crude price pullbacks drove modest support.
4. Commodities
Gold & Silver
- Gold MCX stood steady: around ₹96,989/10 g on July 4 morning.
- Silver MCX about ₹108,116/kg, while international silver saw a small weekly drop (1%).
Crude — MCX & Global
- Domestic crude futures traded mostly sideways, with global oil softening on easing Middle East tension and OPEC signals.
5. Key Market Drivers
- Trade dynamics: Ongoing U.S.–India negotiations and U.S.–Vietnam deal bolstered sentiment.
- Regulatory headlines: SEBI interim ban on Jane Street introduced caution.
- Macro trends: Softening dollar, Fed-rate expectations, and stable crude supported INR and commodities.
6. 📌 Weekly Recap Table
| Asset | Week-End Level | Week Change |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 25,461 | +0.2% (flat) |
| Sensex | 83,433 | +0.23% |
| Bank Nifty | Slightly positive | — |
| Fin Nifty | Slightly positive | — |
| INR/USD | ₹85.44–85.48 | Flat |
| Gold (10 g) | ₹96,989 | Stable |
| Silver (kg) | ₹108,116 | Stable |
| Crude | Modest changes | — |
7. 🧭 Outlook
- Equities: With consolidation phase likely, next catalyst would be clarity on trade deals or quarterly earnings.
- Financials: Watch HDFC, ICICI, Bajaj Finance for macro trend cues.
- INR: Rupee may trend tightly within ₹85.4–85.8; any change hinges on global policy or trade updates.
- Commodities: Gold/silver to remain range‑bound; crude direction depends on geopolitical and OPEC signals.
✅ Final Thoughts
A consolidative week with mixed global cues and domestic steadiness. Equities held ground, the Rupee remained stable, and commodities stayed firm. Watch next week for trade deal developments, FII flows, and earnings triggers to define the next move.
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