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Weekly Wrap-Up (09–13 Feb 2026): Indian Stock Market, INR & Commodities Outlook – Volatility Rises as Indices Correct from Highs

Weekly Wrap-Up (09–13 Feb 2026)
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Weekly Wrap-Up (09–13 Feb 2026): Indian Stock Market, INR & Commodities Outlook – Volatility Rises as Indices Correct from Highs


Updated: 14th February 2026
Category: Weekly Wrap-Up | Market Analysis
By CapitalKeeper Research Desk


Indian stock market weekly wrap-up (09–13 Feb 2026): Nifty, Bank Nifty, Sensex, INR and commodities analysis, key movements, sector trends, and outlook for the coming week.


Weekly Wrap-Up: Indian Stock Market, INR & Commodity Market

09th February 2026 – 13th February 2026

The second week of February 2026 brought noticeable volatility across the Indian equity markets as benchmark indices witnessed profit booking after recent highs. Investors remained cautious due to global cues, mixed earnings reactions, and sector-specific corrections. While the broader trend continues to show resilience, short-term weakness and consolidation dominated trading sessions.

This weekly wrap-up presents a detailed breakdown of movements in the Indian stock market, currency trends, commodity behavior, sectoral action, and a forecast for the upcoming week — structured to provide clarity for traders, investors, and market followers.


Weekly Market Snapshot

IndexOpening (09 Feb 2026)Closing (13 Feb 2026)Weekly Change
Nifty 5025,888.7025,471.10↓ Corrective Move
Bank Nifty60,805.2060,186.65↓ Mild Weakness
Sensex83,177.5182,626.76↓ Profit Booking
Fin Nifty27,120.6028,126.35↑ Strong Outperformance

Market Overview: A Week of Controlled Correction

The week began with a slightly optimistic tone as indices opened near strong resistance zones. However, selling pressure gradually built up across large-cap segments, leading to a corrective phase.

Nifty slipped from near 25,900 levels to close around 25,470, indicating profit booking after recent rallies. Bank Nifty also showed weakness but remained relatively stable compared to broader indices. Interestingly, Fin Nifty outperformed and ended the week with gains, showing selective strength in financial stocks.

This divergence between indices reflects a market that is not weak overall but undergoing sectoral rotation and consolidation.


Key Drivers Behind Market Movement

1) Profit Booking at Higher Levels

After sustained upward momentum in previous weeks, markets faced natural resistance. Traders chose to book profits, especially in IT, FMCG, and large-cap stocks.

2) Global Market Influence

Global uncertainty and cautious sentiment kept foreign investors on the sidelines. Any weakness in global indices immediately triggered selling pressure in domestic markets.

3) Sector Rotation

While IT and consumption stocks corrected, financials showed resilience. This shift indicates investors moving funds into banking and NBFC stocks.

4) Derivative Positioning

Options data suggested resistance around 26,000 levels on Nifty. Repeated rejection from that zone added selling pressure.


Sector-Wise Weekly Performance

Banking & Financials – Strong Core Support

Banking stocks remained the backbone of the market. Even though Bank Nifty closed slightly lower, the overall structure stayed intact. PSU banks showed resilience, while private banks saw minor corrections.

Fin Nifty’s strong closing indicates accumulation in insurance, NBFCs, and financial services companies.

IT Sector – Weakness Continues

Technology stocks saw continued selling pressure due to global uncertainty. Many large-cap IT names corrected after failing to sustain highs.

FMCG – Defensive but Slow

FMCG stocks remained stable but lacked momentum. Investors are rotating funds into higher beta sectors.

Auto – Mixed Trend

Auto stocks moved sideways with stock-specific action. The sector is currently consolidating after a strong rally.

Midcap & Smallcap – Volatility Returns

The broader market saw selective profit booking. Some stocks corrected sharply, highlighting caution among short-term traders.


INR Movement During the Week

The Indian Rupee traded in a narrow range with mild volatility. Strength in the dollar and cautious global sentiment kept the rupee under pressure.

However, strong domestic inflows prevented major depreciation. Currency stability played a key role in limiting downside in equities.


Commodity Market Trends

Gold

Gold remained firm as investors preferred safe-haven assets amid market volatility. Prices stayed supported due to global uncertainty.

Silver

Silver followed gold’s direction and remained stable with a slightly positive bias.

Crude Oil

Oil prices showed mild fluctuations. Any rise in crude creates inflation concerns and impacts market sentiment.


Technical Market Structure

Nifty Technical View

  • Resistance: 25,900 – 26,100
  • Support: 25,300 – 25,000

Nifty is currently in a consolidation phase. The index is trading between strong resistance and support zones. A breakout above 26,000 can trigger fresh momentum, while a fall below 25,300 may lead to deeper correction.

Bank Nifty Technical View

  • Resistance: 61,000
  • Support: 59,500

Bank Nifty remains structurally strong. Dips are getting bought into, showing underlying strength in financial stocks.

Fin Nifty Outlook

Fin Nifty’s outperformance signals institutional interest in financial services. This index could lead the next rally.


Institutional Activity Insight

FII activity remained mixed this week. While there were days of selling pressure, domestic institutional investors provided support at lower levels. This tug-of-war created volatility but prevented a major fall.

Market stability largely depended on domestic flows.


Market Sentiment Analysis

The sentiment is currently cautious but not bearish. Investors are:

  • Booking profits after rallies
  • Waiting for dips to re-enter
  • Rotating money between sectors

This phase is typical before the next directional move.


What to Watch in the Coming Week

Several factors will determine market direction:

  • Movement around 26,000 resistance zone
  • Banking sector strength continuation
  • Global market stability
  • Institutional fund flow trends
  • Commodity price movement

Forecast for Upcoming Week (17–21 Feb 2026)

Bullish Scenario

If Nifty sustains above 25,600 and crosses 26,000, we may see:

  • Fresh breakout rally
  • Banking-led momentum
  • Strong participation from midcaps

Bearish Scenario

If Nifty breaks below 25,300:

  • Correction towards 25,000 possible
  • IT and FMCG may drag indices lower

Most Likely Scenario

Markets may remain range-bound with stock-specific action dominating.


Trading Strategy for Investors

Short-Term Traders

  • Focus on banking stocks
  • Trade breakouts carefully
  • Avoid chasing rallies

Swing Traders

  • Accumulate quality stocks on dips
  • Watch financial and infrastructure sectors

Long-Term Investors

  • Continue SIP approach
  • Use corrections for gradual buying

FAQs

Q1: Why did markets fall this week?

Markets corrected due to profit booking after recent highs and resistance near key levels.

Q2: Which sector showed strength?

Financial stocks showed resilience and supported the market.

Q3: Is the market trend still bullish?

Yes, the long-term trend remains positive despite short-term consolidation.

Q4: What is the key level to watch for Nifty?

26,000 is major resistance, while 25,300 is important support.

Q5: Should investors buy now?

Accumulating quality stocks during corrections can be a smart strategy.

Final Takeaway

The week ending 13th February 2026 highlighted a healthy market correction rather than a structural breakdown. Financial stocks provided stability, while broader indices cooled off from elevated levels.

As markets enter the next week, consolidation may continue, but the overall long-term structure remains strong. Traders should stay cautious near resistance zones, while investors can use dips as opportunities to accumulate fundamentally strong stocks.

This phase is not a sign of weakness — it is a pause before the next directional move.


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Ranjit Sahoo
Founder & Chief Editor – CapitalKeeper.in

Ranjit Sahoo is the visionary behind CapitalKeeper.in, a leading platform for real-time market insights, technical analysis, and investment strategies. With a strong focus on Nifty, Bank Nifty, sector trends, and commodities, she delivers in-depth research that helps traders and investors make informed decisions.

Passionate about financial literacy, Ranjit blends technical precision with market storytelling, ensuring even complex concepts are accessible to readers of all levels. Her work covers pre-market analysis, intraday strategies, thematic investing, and long-term portfolio trends.

When he’s not decoding charts, Ranjit enjoys exploring coastal getaways and keeping an eye on emerging business themes.

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