India Weekly Market Wrap: Nifty & Sensex Slip; Bank/Fin Nifty Range‑Bound; INR Weakens; Gold & Oil Mixed (June 7–July 11, 2025)
By CapitalKeeper | Beginner’s Guide | Indian Sock Market | Market Moves That Matter I 12th July 2025
Catch the week’s key moves: Nifty drifts below 25,400 on IT/pharma pressure, Bank/Fin Nifty hold steady, INR weakens amid tariff jitters, gold firm, crude mixed. Analysis awaits.
1. 📉 Equity Market Overview
- Nifty 50 slid into a tight range, dipping below 25,400 mid-week, and ending near 25,262 on July 11 a 0.37% weekly drop, down 200 pts .
- Sensex lost 346 pts mid-week and closed around 82,854, down 0.4% .
- The decline was driven by global tariff fears and weak IT & pharma names. TCS, Infosys, Wipro dipped after weaker guidance, while pharma lagged.
2. 🏦 Bank Nifty & Fin Nifty
- Bank Nifty and Fin Nifty held firm, ending the week flat to mildly positive.
- Banking heavyweights like Kotak Mahindra rallied (3.5%) on strong Q1 deposits and loan growth.
- However, broader financials saw limited follow‑through as equity weakness limited upside .
3. 💱 INR / USD
- The INR weakened through the week, ending near ₹85.84/USD, down 0.2% amid renewed tariff threats from the U.S..
- Early week held flat (85.67), but dipped after new U.S. tariffs on copper, BRICS imports, signalling increased global risk aversion.
4. 🪙 Commodities Round-Up
- Gold (MCX) remained firm. IIFL reported a strong weekly gain (+1.8%), supported by safe-haven flow .
- Silver rose 2% over the same week .
- Crude Oil recovered 1.5% after earlier drop; WTI held near $65–67/bbl on global supply stability.
5. 🔍 Key Drivers
- US tariffs & trade uncertainty: Persistent tariff threats on copper, semiconductors, and BRICS weighed on equities and INR .
- Earnings season: Soft Q1 guidance from TCS and flat performance from pharma triggered sectoral weakness.
- Financials’ strength: Robust private bank data supported Bank/Fin Nifty indices mid‑week .
- FII flows: Net outflows of ₹7bn in secondary equity; bond inflows (₹106bn) continued.
📊 Weekly Summary
Asset | Week-End Level | Weekly Change | Notes |
---|---|---|---|
Nifty 50 | 25,149.85 | –0.37% | IT & pharma hit |
Sensex | 82,500,47 | –0.4% | Mirrors Nifty pressure |
Bank Nifty | 56,754.70 | Flat/+ small | Financials stable |
Fin Nifty | 26853.10 | Flat/+ small | Financials stable |
INR/USD | ₹85.84 | –0.2% (weaker) | Tariff jitters |
Gold | ↑1.8% | Firm | Safe-haven flows |
Silver | ↑2% | Firm | Bullish trend |
Crude Oil | ↑1.5% | Partial rebound | Supply stability |
🧭 Outlook & Strategy
- Equities: Watch for upside if U.S.–India deal progresses or tariffs ease. IT and pharma may take lead directionally.
- Financials: Continue tracking deposit/loan data healthy private banks can anchor Fin/Nifty.
- Currency: INR volatility persists; Fed minutes later this week could shift momentum.
- Commodities: Gold/silver may stay elevated; crude depends on OPEC and geopolitical headlines.
✅ Final Takeaway
A week of consolidation and caution with tariff news and corporate earnings weighing on broader markets, while financials and commodities offered pockets of resilience. Next week’s trajectory will likely hinge on clarity from U.S. trade policy, India’s Q1 earnings, and FII flow momentum. domestic news flow.
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