Weekly Market Study Outlook (16th June – 20th June 2025)
🔍 Sector-Wise Analysis | Key Indices Technical Levels | Personal Trading Strategy
As we step into a new week, the Indian stock market continues to showcase sectoral divergence with a cautious undertone. Here’s your complete weekly technical study, highlighting index support/resistance, range-bound opportunities, and strong buy-on-dip sectors. Let’s decode the charts:
1. SENSEX (Last Close: 81,118.60)
- Support: 80,354 (Friday’s Low)
- Strength Above: 82,200
- Breakout Level: 82,680+
- View: Range-bound until breakout. Watch price action near 80,350 for downside risk and 82,200 for strength confirmation.
2. NIFTY 50 (Last Close: 24,718.60)
- Strong Support: 24,600
- Final Support: 24,423
- Upside Trigger: 24,835 → Target: 25,030/25,080
- Major Breakout Zone: Above 25,250 only
- Range: 24,400 – 25,250
- View: Buy near 24,423–24,600 with SL, avoid longs below 24,400.
3. BANK NIFTY (Last Close: 55,527.35)
- Supports: 54,600 / 54,900 / 55,000
- Resistances: 56,100 / 56,300 / 56,550
- Breakout Fails Above: 56,700
- View: Book profits on every rise. Weak unless crosses 56,700+ convincingly.
4. PSU BANK INDEX (Last Close: 6,934.85)
- Supports: 6,630 / 6,780
- Resistances: 7,200 / 7,260
- Big Move Above: 7,300 → Targets: 7,650 / 7,755
- View: Eyes on breakout zone near 7,300.
5. PHARMA INDEX (Last Close: 21,985.15)
- Support Levels: 21,200 / 21,300
- Resistance Levels: 22,420 / 22,800 / 23,100 / 23,250
- View: Bullish bias intact. Buy near supports.
6. METAL INDEX (Last Close: 9,258.80)
- Strict Support: 9,100 (no long below this)
- Resistance Levels: 9,450 / 9,600 / 9,900
- View: Avoid fresh longs unless it holds above 9,100.
7. IT INDEX (Last Close: 38,469.24)
- Supports: 37,300 / 37,500 / 37,800
- Resistances: 38,800 / 39,000 / 39,300 / 39,600 / 39,900
- View: Strong “buy on dips” candidate. Momentum likely to continue above 38,800.
8. AUTO INDEX (Last Close: 23,327.40)
- Strict Stoploss: 22,900
- Support: 23,160
- Resistance: 23,700 / 23,955 / 24,220
- View: Weakness persists if below 23,160.
9. FMCG INDEX (Last Close: 54,527.15)
- Supports: 54,000 / 54,100 / 54,300
- Resistances: 55,000 / 55,230 / 55,500
- View: Watch select FMCG stocks for breakout opportunities this week.
10. MIDCAP 100 (Last Close: 58,227.45) & SMALLCAP 100 (Last Close: 18,374.80)
- Midcap Supports: 57,000 / 57,210
- Smallcap Supports: 17,400 / 17,700 / 18,000
- Midcap Resistances: 58,800 / 59,550 / 60,000
- Smallcap Resistances: 18,600 / 18,900 / 19,000+
- Strength Confirmation: Midcap above 59,550–60,000, Smallcap above 18,750
- View: Strong momentum likely if levels are crossed. Stay alert for breakout trades.
11. ENERGY INDEX (Last Close: 35,740.55)
- Supports: 35,000 / 35,310 / 35,655
- Resistances: 36,100 / 36,300 / 36,600
- Strength Only Above: 37,000
- View: Range-bound till breakout. Avoid aggressive longs till 37,000+.
12. PRIVATE BANK INDEX (Last Close: 27,527.90)
- Supports: 27,100 / 27,200 / 27,450
- Resistances: 27,750 / 27,900 / 28,200
- Strength Only Above: 28,290
- View: Cautious stance until breakout.
13. NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES (Last Close: 26,335.60)
- Support: 25,920 / 26,100 (Strict SL)
- Resistances: 26,655 / 26,940 / 27,100
- Strength Above: 27,400
- View: Keep SL tight. Prefer strength confirmation before new longs.
14. PSE INDEX (Last Close: 9,886.55)
- Supports: 9,510 / 9,690
- Resistances: 10,000 / 10,150 / 10,320
- Breakout Confirmation: Only above 10,500
- View: Watch closely; strength will return above 10,500 spot.
Personal Trading Strategy
✅ Strong Buy on Dips (Swing to Medium-Term Perspective):
- IT Sector – Strong global tech tailwinds
- Pharma Sector – Defensive play with breakout potential
- Midcap 100 Index – Structural strength across segments
- Smallcap 100 Index – Attractive risk-reward at dips
- Fertilizers & Chemicals – Sector rotation visible, volume buildup spotted
📲 Final Note from CapitalKeeper.in
This week might remain range-bound for headline indices unless major resistance levels are taken out. Stay stock- and sector-specific with a buy-on-dips strategy in outperforming sectors like IT, Pharma, Midcaps, and Fertilizers. Avoid chasing rallies—discipline and stop-losses are key.
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