CapitalKeeper Sunday Digest : Nifty Consolidates, Midcaps Outperform, Key Sectors to Watch Next Week
By CapitalKeeper | Sunday Digest | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
📰 CapitalKeeper Sunday Digest | 14th July 2025 – 18th July 2025
Your Weekly Market Wrap with Tactical Insights for the Week Ahead
Explore CapitalKeeper’s Weekly Wrap for July 14–18, 2025. Nifty ends flat amid global headwinds, midcap and smallcap stocks show resilience. Discover top stock picks, sector outlook, and market predictions for the coming week.
🧠 Market Recap: 14th – 18th July 2025
In a week defined by global economic tension, profit-booking in frontline stocks, and resilient midcaps, the Indian equity market experienced range-bound volatility. Despite weak global cues, stock-specific action in midcap and smallcap sectors helped cushion Nifty’s downside. The broader sentiment leaned cautious but selectively optimistic.
📉 Weekly Index Snapshot
| Index | 14 July Open | 18 July Close | Weekly Movement |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 25,078.55 | 24,968.40 | 🔻 -110 pts |
| Bank Nifty | 56,594.20 | 56,283.00 | 🔻 -311 pts |
| Sensex | 82,017.90 | 81,757.73 | 🔻 -260 pts |
| Fin Nifty | 26,734.20 | 26,556.15 | 🔻 -178 pts |
🌍 Global Cues & Market Sentiment
- US Inflation Data raised the possibility of a delayed Fed rate cut. Bond yields spiked, leading to weakness in global equities.
- Brent crude prices hovered around $84–86/barrel, raising inflation concerns.
- Rupee showed mild depreciation vs USD, closing near 83.64.
- FIIs continued selective selling, while DIIs provided stability.
- China GDP growth disappointment weighed on Asian peers.
🔍 Sector-Wise Performance
✅ Outperformers:
- Pharma & Diagnostics: Strong gains seen in Dr. Lal PathLabs, Laurus Labs, and Suven Pharma after revival in API demand and Ayushman Bharat news.
- Green Energy & Power: Adani Green, JSW Energy, and Tata Power gained momentum on renewable energy orders.
- Midcap Infra & Smart Cities: IRB Infra, PNC Infra, and ITD Cementation rallied on infra push optimism.
🚫 Underperformers:
- IT Sector: Infosys and TCS corrected sharply post-earnings due to margin concerns and US slowdown.
- FMCG & Metals: Weak demand outlook and commodity volatility kept stocks under pressure.
- PSU Banks: Witnessed mild profit-booking despite strong YTD gains.
📊 Mid & Smallcap Market Action
- Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 continued their outperformance streak, supported by domestic flows and sectoral rotation.
- Stocks like Mazagon Dock, BEML, Sudarshan Chem, Jash Engineering, and Walchandnagar hit new highs.
- High-volume breakouts were seen in ITI Ltd., GPPL, DolatAlgo, and Elgi Equipments — all marked by positive MACD and trendline breakouts.
🔮 Week Ahead: What to Expect (22nd – 26th July 2025)
- Stock-specific breakouts likely to continue in midcaps and green energy stocks.
- IT stocks may remain under pressure due to earnings and global tech demand outlook.
- Bank Nifty could outperform, especially PSU Banks if fresh buying resumes.
- RBI commentary and bond yields will be watched closely ahead of the August policy.
- Nifty range watch: 24,850–25,300. If 25,300 is crossed with volume, expect a short-covering rally.
🔥 CapitalKeeper Radar: 5 Breakout Stocks for Next Week
| Stock | CMP | Reason to Watch | Support Zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walchandnagar | ₹235 | Trendline breakout, strong MACD & volumes | ₹200–210 |
| ITI Ltd. | ₹309 | Narrow range breakout with volume | ₹270–275 |
| JGCHEM | ₹371 | Trendline breakout nearing fresh range | ₹350–360 |
| Elgi Equipments | ₹535 | MACD + positive divergence | ₹470–480 |
| DolatAlgo | ₹100 | Resistance breakout with strong volume | ₹85–90 |
🧠 Pro Tips for Traders:
- Avoid shorting in dips: Broader trend remains bullish in midcap space.
- Book profits partially: Market breadth is narrowing; stay nimble.
- Focus on volume-backed breakouts: Use MACD + price structure confirmation.
- Watch global bond yields and crude as directional triggers.
Q1 FY26 earnings: Reliance posts record ₹26,994 cr PAT, ICICI Bank grows profit 15.5% to ₹12,768 cr, HDFC Bank sees 12.2% growth and bonus share. Performance outlook and market implications.
📊 At-a-Glance Comparison
| Company | PAT (₹ cr) | YoY Change | Key Highlights |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance | 26,994 | +78% | Record PAT, one-off gain, Jio & retail drive |
| ICICI Bank | 12,768 (standalone); 13,558 (consolidated) | +15.5% / +15.9% | Loan/deposit growth, asset quality gains |
| HDFC Bank | 18,155 | +12.2% | NII up, buffer provisions, shareholder returns |
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