CapitalKeeper Sunday Digest : Global Cues from Last Night (🔼Trending UP I 🔽 Trending DOWN)-15 Jun 202025
By CapitalKeeper | Sunday Digest | Stock Market | 15 June 2025
Global Cues from Last Night
- Escalating Middle East tensions (Israel–Iran) pressured crude oil prices and dragged global equities down.
- RBI’s aggressive liquidity boost (repo –50 bps, CRR –100 bps) improves domestic sentiment.
- Foreign fund patterns: FIIs sold ₹208 cr; DIIs funded ₹2,382 cr recently.
- Rising India VIX (14%) indicates heightened volatility.
Interpretation: Ongoing global risks weigh on markets, but domestic policy support cushions the fall—ideal for selective technical plays.
📉 Market Outlook & Key Technical Signals
- Nifty 50: Support 24,700–24,500; breach could head toward 24,000.
- Small-cap index: Gained 23% over 3 months, but down 0.5% yesterday.
- Top 52‑week highs: DB Realty, Oswal Agro, Nazara, Narayana Hrudayalaya → strong investor flows.
📈 Stocks Likely Leading the Uptrend
1. HDFC Life, Ujjivan SFB, Godrej Consumer, UPL, GAIL
- HSBC named India a safe haven; these are top picks to benefit from pro-growth policies.
2. HAL (Hindustan Aeronautics)
- Strong daily candles, RSI 58, trading above EMAs; buy zone ₹5,026, target ₹5,530.
3. Torrent Power & NTPC
- Buoyed by new green-energy contracts and thermal capacity additions .
4. Tech Mahindra
- Positive via IT recovery and recent beat in technical setups.
📉 Stocks Leading the Downtrend
1. HDFC & ICICI Banks
- Banking index dropped 1%; heavyweights contributing the most to downside pressure.
2. BSE, IGL, NBCC
- Cautioned by analysts as short-term sell recommendations.
3. Metal & Auto Stocks
- Underperformance due to oil-driven inflation worries and global slowdown fears .
🛠️ Technical Checklist for Watchlist Stocks
| Stock | Technical Setup | Entry/Exit |
|---|---|---|
| HAL | RSI 57, above EMAs, bullish candles | Buy ₹5,026; Target ₹5,530; SL ₹4,780 |
| Tech Mahindra | Consolidation breakout, supported by IT trend | Buy near breakout |
| Torrent Power | Green-energy contract in place; MACD bullish | Buy on dip |
| NTPC | Trial success, volume pick-up, trend support | Buy above key EMA levels |
| HDFC Life & UPL | Strong broker picks; defensive segments; look for RSI/volume build | Accumulate on dips |
| ICICI/HDFC Banks | Watch support zones ₹1,400/₹1900; may resume uptrend post-dip | Buy near support |
| BSE, NBCC | Overbought; RSI > 60, consider booking profits | Sell or avoid |
🔼Trending UP (Drivers of Market Rally)
Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL)
- Entry Price: ₹5,026 (yesterday’s close)
- RSI (Daily 57.8) – Indicates healthy upward momentum without overbought risk
- MACD (113 vs signal 156) – Mildly bearish crossover, but overall trend remains bullish above major EMAs
- ADX 32.7 – Confirms a strong trend
- Volume surge – Price rose 1.4% on higher volume—typical prelude to stronger moves
Strategy: Buy dips to ₹4,900–5,000; target near ₹5,300; stop-loss just below ₹4,900.
Tech Mahindra (TECHM)
- Price: ₹1,659
- RSI 69–63 – In bullish territory; watch for potential short-term consolidation
- MACD positive with rising histogram – Buy momentum evident
- Moving Averages – All SMAs/EMAs (20/50/200) aligned bullishly
- Stochastic 82/84 – Near overbought; expectation for mild profit-booking then further trend
Strategy: Buy dips below ₹1,620–1,640; aim for ₹1,750; SL ₹1,600.
🔽 Trending DOWN (Potential Drag on Market)
HDFC Bank & ICICI Bank
- Banking index dropped 1%; both heavyweights now under pressure
- RSI cushioning near 50–55, but MACD weak—suggesting volatile sideways move
- TTM momentum indicators trending downward
Strategy: Wait for dips to ₹1,400–₹1,430 (HDFC) and ₹1,050–1,070 (ICICI); buy after confirmation above 50-day EMA.
📊 Live Tech Summary (Daily Snapshot)
| Stock | RSI | MACD | Trend Signal | Entry Level | Target | Stop-Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAL | 57.8↑ | Bullish | Strong uptrend | ₹4,900–5,000 | ₹5,300 | ₹4,880 |
| TECHM | 63–69 | Bullish | Bullish, slightly overbought | ₹1,620–1,640 | ₹1,750 | ₹1,600 |
| HDFC Bank | 50 | Weak | Downside pressure | Wait near ₹1,400 | ₹1,500+ | ₹1,380 |
| ICICI Bank | 52 | Weak | Sideways/downtrend | Wait near ₹1,050 | ₹1,150+ | ₹1,030 |
🔍 Watchlist Alerts
- Green Wave: Defence (HAL), Tech, Green Energy
- Caution: Banks, Cyclicals (metals/auto) remain weak
🎯 Pro Tips for You:
- Buy on support dips when RSIs stabilize and MACD stays positive.
- Book profits gradually (10–15%), then trail with a tighter stop.
- Track indices & global cues daily—oil & geopolitical factors remain key.
- Set alerts around support/resistance levels; clarity beats emotion.
🌟 Quick Strategy Summary
- Buy leaders on dips, when technicals align with fundamentals.
- Follow RSI & MACD: Ideal entry in RSI 40–60, MACD crossover positive.
- Support/Resistance zones: Buy near support, sell near resistance.
- Stop-loss discipline: 5% below entry or beneath key EMAs.
- Profit booking: Scale out at 8–15%, then trail or completely exit.
📌 Final Thoughts
- Upside drivers: Defence, IT, energy, and select financial/consumption names.
- Downside risks: Banks, cyclicals, and exporters — vulnerable to global pressure.
- Combining global cues, policy support, and technical discipline increases the odds of sustained gains.
- Stay alert: geopolitical news, inflation data, and F&O expiry can change sentiment rapidly.
“When the market rests, you prepare. Successful traders treat weekends as planning sessions—not vacations.” – CapitalKeeper
📌 For more real-time updates, trade setups, and investment insights — follow us on [Telegram] and subscribe to our newsletter!
📌 Disclaimer
The content provided on CapitalKeeper.in is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice. While we strive to present accurate and up-to-date market data and analysis, we make no warranties or representations regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of the information.
Stock market investments are subject to market risks, and readers/investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence or consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions. CapitalKeeper and its authors are not liable for any loss or damage, direct or indirect, arising from the use of this information.
All views and opinions expressed are personal and do not reflect the official policy or position of any agency or organization. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
By using this website, you agree to the terms of this disclaimer.
Leave a Reply