Indian Stock Market Pre-Market Outlook – 29 December 2025: Nifty Holds Key Zone | Metal Index Signals Big Upside | Stock-Specific Opportunities in Focus
Updated: 29 Decmber 2025
Category: Pre Market | Market Analysis
By CapitalKeeper Research Desk
Indian stock market pre-market analysis for 29 December 2025 with Nifty, Bank Nifty, Sensex outlook, global cues, RSI-MACD-volume insights, and high-probability trade setups in Muthoot Finance, NMDC, and Nifty Metal Index.
Market Snapshot (Previous Close – 27 December 2025)
| Index | Close | Change Bias |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 26,042.30 | Consolidative |
| Bank Nifty | 59,011.35 | Range-bound |
| Sensex | 85,041.45 | Mild consolidation |
| Fin Nifty | 27,430.75 | Neutral-positive |
Indian equity benchmarks ended the previous session in a tight range, reflecting a pause after the recent rally. With December nearing its close, position adjustments, sector rotation, and derivative expiry effects are shaping intraday volatility.
Global Market Cues – What’s Driving Sentiment Today
Overnight Global Overview
- US Markets: Dow and S&P 500 traded flat as investors awaited fresh macro data and year-end fund flows.
- US Bond Yields: Stable, easing pressure on emerging markets.
- Dollar Index: Mildly soft, supportive for metals and commodities.
- Crude Oil: Holding steady, aiding OMCs and metal stocks.
- Asian Markets: Mixed cues; Japan firm, China cautious.
👉 Impact on India:
Stable global cues suggest no panic selling, while domestic markets remain driven by stock-specific and sector-thematic action.
FII–DII Activity: Under the Hood
- FIIs: Selective profit booking near highs
- DIIs: Supporting dips aggressively
This divergence continues to limit downside, especially in frontline indices.
Index Outlook – Technical Structure
Nifty 50 – Structure & Levels
- Trend: Sideways to mildly bullish
- RSI (Daily): Around 58 – neutral-positive
- MACD: Positive but flattening
- Volume: Cooling off after recent up-move
Key Levels
- Immediate Support: 25,900 – 25,850
- Major Support: 25,750
- Resistance Zone: 26,150 – 26,250
📌 View:
As long as Nifty holds 25,850, the broader structure remains intact. A decisive move above 26,250 may open the door for fresh momentum in January.
Bank Nifty Outlook
- Trend: Consolidation above breakout zone
- Support: 58,600 – 58,400
- Resistance: 59,400 – 59,700
Banking stocks are digesting gains, not showing distribution — a constructive sign.
Sector Radar – Where Smart Money Is Moving
Metals – Early Leadership Signals
- Strong price structure
- Favorable global commodity cues
- Improved risk-reward after consolidation
Financials
- Banks consolidating
- NBFCs showing selective momentum
Defensive Sectors
- FMCG and IT showing limited traction
- Rotation visible rather than exit
High-Conviction Trade Setups
1️⃣ MUTHOOT FINANCE – Short-Term Momentum Play
Buy: ₹3,797
Stop Loss: ₹3,745
Targets: ₹3,915 / ₹3,935
Technical View
- Price holding above short-term EMA cluster
- RSI trending upward without divergence
- Volume expansion on green candles
📊 Interpretation:
Muthoot Finance shows strong relative strength compared to the broader NBFC space. The stock is forming a higher-low structure, suggesting continuation.
2️⃣ NMDC – Strong Support, Favorable Risk-Reward
Close: ₹82.61
Technical Structure
- Support Zone: ₹78 – ₹79
- Upside Potential: ₹88 – ₹95
- RSI stabilizing after correction
- MACD attempting bullish crossover
- Volume drying on declines — selling pressure reducing
📌 View:
As long as ₹78 holds, NMDC offers a swing-trade opportunity with a favorable upside-to-risk ratio.
3️⃣ NIFTY METAL INDEX – Bigger Picture Opportunity
Close: 10,806
Multi-Timeframe Insight
- Index trading inside a rising channel
- Recently bounced from channel support
- RSI on weekly chart remains strong
- MACD positive with widening histogram
📈 Projection:
As per channel analysis, medium-term potential extends toward 14,000, provided global metals remain supportive.
👉 Implication:
Stock-specific opportunities likely to emerge in steel, aluminum, and mining names.
RSI, MACD & Volume – Combined Market Reading
| Indicator | Status | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | Neutral-Positive | No overbought risk |
| MACD | Positive | Trend intact |
| Volume | Normalizing | Healthy consolidation |
This setup suggests the market is resting, not reversing.
Pre-Market Strategy – How to Trade Today
✔ Prefer buy-on-dip strategies
✔ Focus on sector-leaders, not laggards
✔ Avoid aggressive leverage near year-end
✔ Keep strict stop losses
Outlook for the Coming Sessions
- Markets likely to remain range-bound with a positive bias
- Stock-specific action will dominate
- Metals and select NBFCs remain on radar
- January may begin with fresh directional cues
FAQs – Traders & Investors Ask
Q1. Is the market turning bearish near year-end?
No. Current price action reflects consolidation, not distribution.
Q2. Are metals safe to buy now?
From a risk-reward perspective, metal stocks and indices look structurally strong.
Q3. Should positional traders stay invested?
Yes, with disciplined stop losses and selective stock selection.
Q4. Is volatility expected to increase?
Intraday volatility may rise, but broader trend remains stable.
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Ranjit Sahoo
Founder & Chief Editor – CapitalKeeper.in
Ranjit Sahoo is the visionary behind CapitalKeeper.in, a leading platform for real-time market insights, technical analysis, and investment strategies. With a strong focus on Nifty, Bank Nifty, sector trends, and commodities, she delivers in-depth research that helps traders and investors make informed decisions.
Passionate about financial literacy, Ranjit blends technical precision with market storytelling, ensuring even complex concepts are accessible to readers of all levels. Her work covers pre-market analysis, intraday strategies, thematic investing, and long-term portfolio trends.
When he’s not decoding charts, Ranjit enjoys exploring coastal getaways and keeping an eye on emerging business themes.
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