Pre-Market Analysis 5 Aug 2025: Nifty & Bank Nifty Outlook, Global Cues, and Positional Stock Picks
By CapitalKeeper | Pre Market Opening | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Indian Stock Market Pre-Market report for 5 Aug 2025: Nifty closes at 24,726, Bank Nifty at 55,641. Key support/resistance levels, sector trends, global cues, and top positional picks like ABFRL, GPIL, BLS, and IOC for 45-60 days.
Pre-Market Analysis – 5th August 2025: Nifty, Bank Nifty Outlook with Global Cues and Positional Stock Picks
The Indian equity markets ended the previous session with marginal gains after a volatile trade, indicating cautious optimism ahead of key macroeconomic events and global developments. As we step into the trading session for 5th August 2025, traders are closely monitoring the Gift Nifty trends, sectoral rotations, and positional opportunities for the next 45-60 days.
Previous Session Recap (4th August 2025)
- Nifty 50 closed at 24,726.75, up 0.65% from the previous close, finding resistance around the 24,750–24,800 zone.
- Bank Nifty settled at 55,641.55, hovering near critical support around 55,500–55,600 levels.
- Sensex ended at 81,018.72, reflecting broader market stability but with limited upside momentum.
- Fin Nifty closed at 26,476.60, showing mixed trends aligned with financial services stocks.
Gift Nifty & Global Market Cues
As of early morning trade, Gift Nifty futures indicate a flat to slightly positive start for Indian equities, trading around 24,740–24,780 levels.
Global cues remain mixed:
- US Markets: Wall Street closed marginally lower overnight, with the Dow Jones down 0.3%, S&P 500 flat, and Nasdaq easing 0.2% as investors awaited inflation data and the upcoming Federal Reserve commentary.
- Asian Markets: Asian indices are trading cautiously higher, led by Nikkei and Hang Seng, on the back of Chinese stimulus hopes and stable commodity prices.
- Commodities: Brent crude remains near $83 per barrel, a positive for oil marketing companies. Gold prices hover around $2,370/oz, providing safe-haven support amidst global uncertainties.
- Dollar Index & Rupee: The dollar index steadies near 103.80, while USD/INR trades close to 83.45, suggesting mild rupee strength.
Technical Outlook
Nifty 50
- Current Close: 24,726.75
- Support Zones: 24,500 – 24,450 – 24,300
- Resistance Zones: 24,780 – 24,870 – 25,000
Chart Setup:
- Hourly charts indicate consolidation within the 24,450–24,870 range.
- Daily charts show a symmetrical triangle breakout possibility, with upside triggers above 24,870 and breakdown risks below 24,450.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 55 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD remains slightly positive.
Strategy:
Buy on dips near 24,500 with stop loss at 24,300; targets at 24,870–25,000.
Bank Nifty
- Current Close: 55,641.55
- Support Zones: 55,400 – 55,000 – 54,650
- Resistance Zones: 55,900 – 56,250 – 56,800
Chart Setup:
- Bank Nifty is consolidating above 55,400, forming a base for a potential up-move towards 56,250.
- Private banks show relative strength, while PSU banks remain volatile.
- Momentum indicators are neutral to positive with PCR (Put Call Ratio) near 0.9.
Strategy:
Accumulate near 55,400–55,500 for targets 56,250–56,800 with strict stop loss below 54,900.
Sensex
- Current Close: 81,018.72
- Support Zones: 80,400 – 80,000
- Resistance Zones: 81,500 – 82,000
Observation:
Sensex continues to trade in sync with Nifty, with key resistance at 81,500. A close above this may extend rally towards 82,200–82,500.
Fin Nifty
- Current Close: 26,476.60
- Support Zones: 26,300 – 26,100
- Resistance Zones: 26,600 – 26,800
Observation:
Financial services index mirrors Bank Nifty’s setup, with bullish bias above 26,300.
Sectoral Analysis
Bullish Sectors:
- Metals & Mining:
Global commodity cues are stabilizing; domestic demand remains strong. NMDC, Hindalco, and JSW Steel remain key picks. - PSU Banks:
Valuation comfort and steady earnings growth support upside. Watch Canara Bank, Bank of India, and PNB. - Energy & Oil Marketing Companies:
Softening crude oil prices could benefit IOC, BPCL, and HPCL. - Consumer & Textiles:
Seasonal demand revival could support stocks like ABFRL and Trent.
Sectors to Watch (Mixed Trends):
- IT Services: Global cues mixed; Accenture commentary and US tech earnings crucial.
- Auto: Volatility likely due to monsoon demand trends.
- Pharma: Positive bias post regulatory updates, especially in midcap pharma.
- FMCG: Defensive play amid market volatility.
Positional Stock Picks (45-60 Days Horizon)
1. ABFRL (CMP: ₹75.85)
- Target: ₹98
- Stop Loss: ₹68
- Rationale: Trendline breakout on weekly charts, positive momentum building with volume surge. Textile sector tailwinds from festive demand.
2. GPIL (CMP: ₹196)
- Target: ₹245
- Stop Loss: ₹179
- Rationale: Steel and pellet prices firming; strong earnings outlook; support zone at 180-185.
3. BLS International (CMP: ₹384)
- Target: ₹450
- Stop Loss: ₹355
- Rationale: Positive MACD crossover on daily and weekly charts; strong business tailwinds from visa outsourcing services.
4. IOC (CMP: ₹142)
- Option Trade: Buy 150 CE @ ₹1 (August Expiry)
- Targets: ₹145–155–160+ (in cash)
- Rationale: Beneficiary of crude softness; option provides leveraged exposure with limited risk.
Key Levels to Watch Today
- Nifty: 24,450 support | 24,870 resistance
- Bank Nifty: 55,400 support | 56,250 resistance
- Sensex: 80,400 support | 81,500 resistance
- Fin Nifty: 26,300 support | 26,600 resistance
Global Cues to Track
- US Fed Commentary: Hints on future rate path critical; markets expect a pause but tone matters.
- China Stimulus Measures: Any fresh announcements could boost metals and mining stocks.
- Oil Prices: Further decline in crude below $82 may favor OMCs and transportation sectors.
- Currency Movement: A stable rupee may attract FII inflows if global risk appetite improves.
Conclusion
The Indian markets enter 5th August 2025 with cautious optimism amid mixed global cues and domestic technical levels. The 24,450–24,870 range in Nifty and 55,400–56,250 in Bank Nifty will dictate intraday trends. A breakout could set the stage for a rally toward 25,000 in Nifty and 56,800 in Bank Nifty in the near term. Positional trades like ABFRL, GPIL, BLS, and IOC options look attractive for a 45-60 day horizon.
Traders should maintain strict stop-loss levels and monitor global developments closely, especially US Fed updates and commodity price movements.
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