Pre Market 04 July 2025: Nifty Eyes 25,770; PSU Banks, Pharma, Metals to Lead; Study-Based Strategy Ahead
By CapitalKeeper | Pre Market Opening | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Market Outlook – 04 July 2025 | CapitalKeeper.in
Nifty closed at 25,453.40 with key resistance at 25,770. Study-based view bullish on PSU Banks, Pharma, Metals, and Midcaps. Avoid shorting in dips. Sensex, Bank Nifty hold firm; Trump tariff news remains key trigger.
📊 Previous Day Market Close – 03 July 2025
| Index | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 25,453.40 | ▼ -88.49 pts |
| Bank Nifty | 56,999.20 | ▼ -313.55 pts |
| Sensex | 83,409.69 | ▼ -287.60 pts |
| Fin Nifty | 26,861.70 | ▼ -262.50 pts |
Despite a weak finish, underlying sentiment remains selectively positive across critical sectors like PSU Banks, Metals, Pharma, and Midcaps.
📈 Study View Summary – 04 July 2025
| Index/ Sector | Weekly Open | Close | View / Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sensex | 84,027.33 | 83,239.47 | Stable |
| Nifty 50 | 25,661.65 | 25,405.30 | Breakout above 25,662 crucial |
| Bank Nifty | 57,529.95 | 56,791.95 | Strong above 57,000 |
| PSU Banks Nifty | 7,053.55 | 7,129.90 | ✅ Positive – Buy on dips, avoid shorts |
| Pharma Nifty | 22,036.25 | 22,204.25 | ✅ Positive – Watch for tariff news |
| Metal Nifty | 9,604.20 | 9,623.45 | ✅ Positive – Strength in setup |
| IT Nifty | 38,945.85 | 38,854.30 | ⚖️ Mixed trend |
| Auto Nifty | 24,074.80 | 24,004.95 | ⚖️ Mixed – Cautious |
| FMCG Nifty | 55,203.50 | 54,515.75 | ⚖️ Mixed – No shorts in dips |
| Midcap 100 | 59,665.90 | 59,683.25 | ✅ Positive – Buy in dips |
| Energy Nifty | 36,672.15 | 36,362.80 | 🔻 Book profits on rise |
| Pvt Bank Nifty | 28,546.05 | 27,977.45 | ⚖️ Mixed – PSU banks stronger |
| Nifty Fin Services | 27,364.25 | 26,734.90 | ⚖️ Mixed – SL 26,000 |
| Smallcap 100 | 19,057.55 | 19,027.05 | ⚖️ Mixed – SL 17,400 |
| PSE Nifty | 10,112.35 | 10,048.35 | ⚖️ Mixed – SL 9,500 |
🌐 Global Sentiment & Risk Indicators
- FII Index Longs at 29.27%, Shorts at 70.73% – indicates cautious stance.
- India VIX at 12.44, down by 0.64% – volatility low, but possible spike if global tensions rise.
- Trump Tariffs – a wildcard. Any negative announcement can hurt Pharma/Export-heavy stocks.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
🔹 NIFTY (Close: 25,453.40)
- Supports: 25,300 / 25,350 / 25,410
- Resistances: 25,565 / 25,620 / 25,770 / 25,950
- 🚀 Above 25,662, expect rally toward 25,770+, possibly 25,950 next week.
🔹 BANK NIFTY (Close: 56,999.20)
- Supports: 56,400 / 56,625 / 56,775
- Resistances: 57,165 / 57,300 / 57,450 / 57,600
- ⚠️ Sustain above 57,000 may trigger sharp bounce.
🚀 Positive Sectors Today
- ✅ PSU Banks – Strength to continue; good for intraday longs
- ✅ Pharma – Positive setup; avoid shorts even in dips
- ✅ Metals – Base formation; rising global commodity strength
- ✅ Midcaps 100 – Breadth improving; buy quality on dips
🧠 Strategy View – CapitalKeeper
“Buy on dips till 25,200 zone, avoid shorting blindly even in weakness. Any close above 25,662 can bring a fresh trend into July series.”
- Avoid aggressive longs in Energy & Pvt Banks.
- Book profits in select portfolio stocks if trailing SL hits.
- Today (04 July) and Monday (08 July) will be decisive for next trend.
📌 Final Take
July begins with sectoral divergence but selective strength. Watch PSU Banks, Pharma, Metals, and Midcaps for leadership. If Nifty crosses 25,662, prepare for a 200–300 point upside over the next few sessions.
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