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Pre-Market Analysis 23 June 2025: Nifty Above 25,100, Sector Rotation, Global Market Impact

Pre-Market Analysis 23 June 2025: Nifty Above 25,100, Sector Rotation, Global Market Impact

Pre-Market Analysis 23 June 2025: Nifty Above 25,100, Sector Rotation, Global Market Impact

By CapitalKeeper | Pre-Market | Indian Sock Market | Market Moves That Matter I 23th June 2025


📊 Market Snapshot – 20th June 2025

IndexCloseDay’s ChangeTone
Nifty 5025,112.40▲ +319.15 ptsStrong recovery
Bank Nifty55,625.85▲ +48.10 ptsMild bounce
Sensex82,408.17▲ +1,046.30 ptsBroad-based gains
Fin Nifty26,648.70▲ +349.05 ptsNifty financials led

🌐 Global Cues – Weekend & Overnight

  1. Fed Stays Dovish, No Rate Cuts Until September
    Chair Powell confirmed rates will remain unchanged through 2025, extending the market’s delay on easing expectations until at least September.
  2. Middle East Calm Spurs Risk Appetite
    A temporary slowdown in Iran-Israel tensions reduced geopolitical anxiety, easing oil prices from spikes, which buoyed risk-on sentiment.
  3. Global Equities Digest Fed Tone
    US markets closed mixed post-Fed; S&P futures flat. Major Asian bourses rallied modestly on the dovish tone.
  4. Oil & Dollar Index Update
    Brent at ~$78–79/bbl (+2–3%) amid Middle East tension concerns. Dollar Index steady around 105.4, offering limited relief to emerging market currencies.
  5. FII/DII Flows
    Domestic institutions bought aggressively, offsetting some FII profit booking, underpinning the index bounce.

📈 Technical Levels – Key Indices

Market View: Indices are staging a relief rally within a neutral range. Traders should watch for follow-through above resistance levels for trend confirmation.


🏢 Sectoral Overview

Bullish / Preferable Sectors

SectorRationale & CatalystsTop Stocks
PSU BanksRate-sensitive bounce; strong domestic flowBank of Baroda, Canara Bank
FertilizersMonsoon-lift and steady global agro-pricingChambal Fert, Coromandel, GNFC
FMCGDefensive rebound as global volatility easesITC, Dabur, Britannia

⚠️ Under Pressure / Avoid

SectorHeadwindsWatchlist
ITDollar strength & weak global tech demandInfosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra
RealtyRate-sensitive; limited volume strengthDLF, Oberoi, Godrej Properties
AutoHigh input costs; under pressure globallyTata Motors, Hero MotoCorp

📊 Intraday Stock Picks – 23rd June 2025

StockActionTriggerProfit TargetRisk Management
Bank of BarodaBuy₹90 breakout₹95 / ₹98SL ₹88
Chambal Fert:Buy₹310 support hold₹325 / ₹335SL ₹300
ITCBuy₹485 level sustained₹500 / ₹510SL ₹480
InfosysSellBelow ₹1,430₹1,410 / ₹1,390SL ₹1,445
Tata MotorsSellBreak below ₹995₹975 / ₹950SL ₹1,005

🎯 Pre-Market Strategy – 23rd June 2025

Caution: Global oil spikes or renewed Middle East tensions may trigger volatility. Maintain tight stop-losses and monitor forex direction.


🧠 Final Thoughts

Nifty broke above 25,100, showing resilience pre-Fed. Sector rotation seems intact, with PSU banks, fertilizers, and FMCG showing renewed interest. However, watch closely: IT & auto remain weak, global cues fragile, and oil volatility could re-emerge.

Traders should employ a technical breakout approach, with strong emphasis on risk management.


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