Pre-Market Analysis 23 June 2025: Nifty Above 25,100, Sector Rotation, Global Market Impact
By CapitalKeeper | Pre-Market | Indian Sock Market | Market Moves That Matter I 23th June 2025
📊 Market Snapshot – 20th June 2025
Index | Close | Day’s Change | Tone |
---|---|---|---|
Nifty 50 | 25,112.40 | ▲ +319.15 pts | Strong recovery |
Bank Nifty | 55,625.85 | ▲ +48.10 pts | Mild bounce |
Sensex | 82,408.17 | ▲ +1,046.30 pts | Broad-based gains |
Fin Nifty | 26,648.70 | ▲ +349.05 pts | Nifty financials led |
🌐 Global Cues – Weekend & Overnight
- Fed Stays Dovish, No Rate Cuts Until September
Chair Powell confirmed rates will remain unchanged through 2025, extending the market’s delay on easing expectations until at least September. - Middle East Calm Spurs Risk Appetite
A temporary slowdown in Iran-Israel tensions reduced geopolitical anxiety, easing oil prices from spikes, which buoyed risk-on sentiment. - Global Equities Digest Fed Tone
US markets closed mixed post-Fed; S&P futures flat. Major Asian bourses rallied modestly on the dovish tone. - Oil & Dollar Index Update
Brent at ~$78–79/bbl (+2–3%) amid Middle East tension concerns. Dollar Index steady around 105.4, offering limited relief to emerging market currencies. - FII/DII Flows
Domestic institutions bought aggressively, offsetting some FII profit booking, underpinning the index bounce.
📈 Technical Levels – Key Indices
- Nifty 50: Support at 25,000 / 24,850; immediate resistance at 25,230 / 25,400; close above 25,400 could trigger a move to 25,600.
- Bank Nifty: Support at 55,300 / 55,000; resistance at 56,000; a break above 56K may prompt rally to 56,300+.
- Fin Nifty: Support at 26,400 / 26,200; resistance at 26,800 / 27,000 zone.
Market View: Indices are staging a relief rally within a neutral range. Traders should watch for follow-through above resistance levels for trend confirmation.
🏢 Sectoral Overview
✅ Bullish / Preferable Sectors
Sector | Rationale & Catalysts | Top Stocks |
---|---|---|
PSU Banks | Rate-sensitive bounce; strong domestic flow | Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank |
Fertilizers | Monsoon-lift and steady global agro-pricing | Chambal Fert, Coromandel, GNFC |
FMCG | Defensive rebound as global volatility eases | ITC, Dabur, Britannia |
⚠️ Under Pressure / Avoid
Sector | Headwinds | Watchlist |
---|---|---|
IT | Dollar strength & weak global tech demand | Infosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra |
Realty | Rate-sensitive; limited volume strength | DLF, Oberoi, Godrej Properties |
Auto | High input costs; under pressure globally | Tata Motors, Hero MotoCorp |
📊 Intraday Stock Picks – 23rd June 2025
Stock | Action | Trigger | Profit Target | Risk Management |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bank of Baroda | Buy | ₹90 breakout | ₹95 / ₹98 | SL ₹88 |
Chambal Fert: | Buy | ₹310 support hold | ₹325 / ₹335 | SL ₹300 |
ITC | Buy | ₹485 level sustained | ₹500 / ₹510 | SL ₹480 |
Infosys | Sell | Below ₹1,430 | ₹1,410 / ₹1,390 | SL ₹1,445 |
Tata Motors | Sell | Break below ₹995 | ₹975 / ₹950 | SL ₹1,005 |
🎯 Pre-Market Strategy – 23rd June 2025
- Nifty: Buy above 25,230; avoid longs below 25,000.
- Bank Nifty: Buy above 56,000; caution below 55,300.
- Fin Nifty: Buy on dips around 26,400; watch 26,800 break.
Caution: Global oil spikes or renewed Middle East tensions may trigger volatility. Maintain tight stop-losses and monitor forex direction.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Nifty broke above 25,100, showing resilience pre-Fed. Sector rotation seems intact, with PSU banks, fertilizers, and FMCG showing renewed interest. However, watch closely: IT & auto remain weak, global cues fragile, and oil volatility could re-emerge.
Traders should employ a technical breakout approach, with strong emphasis on risk management.
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