Pre Market Analysis 21 July 2025: Nifty Below 25K, Focus on Coal India, SAIL & Grasim
By CapitalKeeper | Pre Market Opening | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Read CapitalKeeper’s Pre Market Report for 21st July 2025. Nifty at 24,968, metals and PSU banks in focus. Trade ideas include Coal India, SAIL, Grasim, and Canara Bank option setup.
📊 Previous Close Snapshot (19th July 2025):
| Index | Closing Level |
|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,968.40 |
| Bank Nifty | 56,283.00 |
| Sensex | 81,757.73 |
| Fin Nifty | 26,556.15 |
🌏 Global Market Cues & GIFT Nifty Outlook:
- GIFT Nifty is indicating a muted-to-slightly negative opening near 24,940, tracking weak global sentiment.
- US Markets ended in the red on Friday amid concerns over rate guidance and a mixed bag of earnings.
- Dow Jones slipped ~0.5%, while Nasdaq saw pressure from tech earnings misses.
- Crude oil remains elevated near $83, potentially keeping energy and OMCs volatile.
- Asian markets are mixed this morning with Nikkei and Shanghai Composite trading flat.
- Dollar Index stable around 104.1; India VIX back above 13, indicating rising nervousness ahead of results-heavy week.
🔍 Sectoral Setup – Watchlist for the Day
🔼 Bullish Sectoral Themes:
- Metals & Mining – Coal India, SAIL, HindZinc gaining traction
- Cement & Infra – Grasim and related infra names showing strength
- Banks (Selected PSUs) – Canara Bank & PNB show accumulation
⚠️ Sectors to Be Cautious:
- Private Banks – Especially Kotak, HDFC Bank under pressure post Q1 numbers
- IT Stocks – Mixed cues from global peers
📈 NIFTY Technical Outlook (Close: 24,968.40)
- Trend: Weak below 25,000 psychological zone
- Support Zones: 24,900 / 24,820 / 24,740
- Resistance Zones: 25,080 / 25,150 / 25,255
🔍 A decisive close below 24,900 will invite further profit booking. Bounce likely only if Nifty reclaims 25,080+ with volume.
🏦 BANK NIFTY Technical Outlook (Close: 56,283.00)
- Support Levels: 56,000 / 55,750
- Resistance Levels: 56,700 / 57,100
📉 Lack of leadership from Kotak & HDFC Bank dragging the index; PSU banks may limit downside.
💡 Stock & Option Trade Ideas – 21st July 2025
🔹 Coal India (CMP ₹387)
- ✅ Buy at CMP
- 🎯 Target: ₹397
- ❌ Stop-loss: ₹383
- ⛏️ Strength in mining stocks continues; momentum building above ₹390+
🔹 SAIL (CMP ₹136)
- ✅ Buy at CMP
- 🎯 Target: ₹140
- ❌ Stop-loss: ₹134
- 📈 Base forming near ₹133, breakout expected above ₹138.50
🔹 Canara Bank (CMP ₹115.60)
- August 125 CE @ ₹1.95
- 🎯 Target: ₹125+
- ❌ SL: Below ₹111 (Cash)
- 💹 Options trade with good RR as stock consolidates with strength
🔹 Grasim Industries (CMP ₹2,724)
- ✅ Buy at CMP and accumulate near ₹2,600
- 🎯 Targets: ₹3,200 / ₹3,300
- 🏗️ Strong support at ₹2,600, part of infra push and Aditya Birla Cap buzz
🔹 Kotak Bank (CMP ₹2,140)
- August 2200 CE @ ₹40
- ✅ Buy with SL: ₹2,100 (cash level)
- 🎯 Target: ₹2,200+
- 📉 Risky bet; best only if Bank Nifty stabilizes above 56,700
🧠 Derivatives & Sentiment Analysis:
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Nifty PCR (OI) | 0.88 | Neutral to Bearish |
| Bank Nifty PCR (OI) | 0.94 | Neutral |
| India VIX | 13.42 | Slight rise in fear |
| FII Activity | Net Sellers | Risk-off in Index |
🔚 Final Takeaway:
The Indian market opens this week with a cautious tone, digesting global cues and Q1 results. With Nifty struggling below 25,000, intraday action may be stock-specific. Metal stocks and PSU banks could shine, while IT and Private Banks may stay muted unless fresh triggers emerge.
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