Nifty & Bank Nifty Intraday Trading Strategy for Weekly Expiry | 10 July 2025 Market Levels
By CapitalKeeper | Nifty & Bank Nifty | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Get expert intraday trading signals for Nifty & Bank Nifty on 10 July 2025 weekly expiry. Explore key support/resistance zones, FII data, PCR ratios, India VIX, and high-impact time alerts for precision trading.
📊 Nifty & Bank Nifty Intraday Trading Signals – 10 July 2025
Today’s market is poised for high volatility, as it marks the Nifty weekly expiry. With FII long positions easing and India VIX down 2%, market participants are advised to stay nimble and favor intraday trades over carry positions.
🔔 Key Timings to Watch for Market Moves:
- 12:03 PM – Trend shift potential
- 1:38 PM – High-impact move expected
- 2:46 PM – Expiry volatility spike
🔽 Nifty Spot: 25,476.10
🔻 Support Levels:
- 25,185
- 25,260
- 25,380
- 25,410 (critical – breach may lead to weakness)
🔺 Resistance Levels:
- 25,555.20
- 25,605
- 25,680
- 25,722 / 25,785 / 25,845 (stiff expiry resistances)
📌 Strategy:
Stay cautious below 25,410.
Above 25,680, we may see expiry-driven short covering.
🔽 Bank Nifty Spot: 57,213.55
🔻 Support Levels:
- 55,800
- 56,100
- 56,400
- 56,700
- 56,805 / 56,940 (key expiry support range)
🔺 Resistance Levels:
- 57,300
- 57,450
- 57,600
- 57,840 / 58,065 / 58,200
📌 Strategy:
Avoid longs below 56,940.
Above 57,450, bulls may attempt expiry highs toward 57,840+.
🔍 Derivatives & Sentiment Overview:
- FII Longs: 28% (↓ from 29%) – shows cautious stance
- Nifty PCR: 0.86 (↓ from 1.04) – leaning toward call writing
- Bank Nifty PCR: 1.00 (↓ from 1.02) – balanced but weak bias
- India VIX: 11.94 (↓ 2%) – market calm, but expiry may trigger bursts
🎯 Sectoral View:
- PSU Banks – Watch for short covering
- Private Banks – Range-bound unless breakout in Bank Nifty
- FMCG & Pharma – Stock-specific upmoves possible
Fin Nifty Intraday Trading Signals
Spot Price: 27,016.85
The Fin Nifty index, a key indicator of financial strength including top banks, NBFCs, and insurance giants, is poised for expiry-linked volatility. Traders should stay nimble, focus on price action near key levels, and avoid overnight positions.
🔻 Support Levels:
- 26,800 – First major base; bounce likely if tested
- 26,880 – Important for intraday trend reversal
- 26,940 – Strong intermediate support
- 27,000 – Psychological support zone
📉 Caution below 26,940 – could attract rapid intraday selling
🔺 Resistance Levels:
- 27,100 – Minor hurdle
- 27,180 – Watch this for strength above hourly close
- 27,250 – Strong resistance
- 27,365 – Weekly breakout zone
📈 Above 27,180, bulls may eye a swift move toward 27,365+ on short covering
🧭 Derivative Setup:
- FII Longs: 28% (↓ from 29%) – cautious but stable
- India VIX: 11.94 – Low volatility regime
- PCR Trend: Flat across Nifty and Bank Nifty — neutral-to-bearish tone
- Expiry Factor: Option writers are active — expect 100–150 pts range moves in Fin Nifty
💡 Strategy for Traders:
- Trade only intraday — expiry day spikes expected
- Avoid directional bias until clear breakout above 27,180
- Volatility windows: 12:03, 13:38, 14:46 — align trades accordingly
- Use volume and option data to confirm breakouts
🔍 Stock Watch (Fin Nifty Heavyweights):
- HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Bajaj Finance, SBI Cards, LIC Housing, PFC
– May drive momentum; watch for relative strength
📌 Final Note:
- Focus only on intraday opportunities
- Avoid overnight long trades
- Use strict SLs near volatility pockets
- Watch volume + breakout confirmation before entering expiry trades
📌 Volatility alert active. Use strict stop-loss on both long and short trades.
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