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Nifty & Bank Nifty Strategy for 06 Oct 2025 – Key Levels, Support & Resistance, FII Data, and Intraday Setups

By CapitalKeeper | Nifty & Bank Nifty | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter

Stay ahead of the markets with CapitalKeeper’s 06 October 2025 report detailed Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Fin Nifty analysis, intraday strategy, FII data, PCR insights, India VIX trend, and critical timings for traders.

🔥 Nifty & Bank Nifty Trend Mix – 06 October 2025

The first trading session of the week began on a cautious but optimistic note. With global cues showing mixed signals, Indian indices started slightly muted but maintained a balanced tone as traders awaited directional clarity. The data from FII positions, PCR ratios, and VIX volatility suggest that the markets might attempt a recovery intraday, provided Nifty sustains above its crucial support zones.

This analysis covers Nifty, Bank Nifty, and Fin Nifty, including intraday strategies, key support–resistance zones, and technical triggers for day traders.

🔍 Global & Domestic Market Context

Global markets began the week with moderate optimism after a steady close in the U.S. indices. Asian peers are showing strength in early trade as yields softened slightly, giving relief to equity markets. On the domestic front, traders are closely monitoring corporate earnings season cues and institutional flows as the next major catalysts.

The Indian rupee remained range-bound, while commodity prices, particularly crude, stayed stable. The fall in India VIX by 2% hints at a calmer sentiment — but low volatility often precedes big moves, especially around expiry weeks or macro announcements.

📊 Nifty 50 (Current: 24,989.25)

🧭 Technical View:

Nifty started the session near the 24,900 zone — a psychological area where traders are balancing between buy-on-dip optimism and global uncertainty-led caution.

Support Levels:
➡ 24,750
➡ 24,810
➡ 24,855

Resistance Levels:
⬆ 24,975
⬆ 25,050
⬆ 25,170
⬆ 25,233

As per chart structures, Nifty needs to hold above 24,810–24,855 to maintain a bullish bias. A decisive close above 25,050 could trigger short covering towards 25,170–25,230 in the near term.

If Nifty slips below 24,690, expect mild profit booking with downside support near 24,550–24,480 zones.

📈 Derivative & Sentiment Insights:

FII Index Long Positions: 7% → indicating cautious optimism. FIIs are still underweight, suggesting limited aggression on the long side.
Nifty PCR: 1.17 (slightly down from 1.18) → showing a balanced options structure; traders are adjusting positions after last week’s volatility.
India VIX: 10.06 (Down 2%) → calm market sentiment, suitable for option writing and range-bound strategies.

The sentiment data aligns with a neutral-to-slightly bullish bias, particularly if Nifty holds above 24,855 throughout the morning session.

🧩 Intraday Strategy for Nifty:

Buy-on-Dip Strategy:

Entry Zone: 24,820–24,860
Stop Loss: 24,720
Target 1: 24,975 | Target 2: 25,050 | Extended Target: 25,170

Alternative (Short Side if Breakdown):

Sell below 24,690
Target: 24,560 / 24,480
Stop Loss: 24,820

Expect volatility to increase post 12:00 noon based on institutional activity and global cues.

🏦 Bank Nifty (Current: 56,007.25)

Bank Nifty has been the outperformer in recent sessions, but momentum appears to be pausing around the 55,600 zone. Traders are watching for signals from private banking heavyweights like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and Kotak Mahindra Bank, which are showing mixed trends.

Support Levels:
➡ 55,410
➡ 55,650

Resistance Levels:
⬆ 56,250
⬆ 56,400
⬆ 56,550

💡 Technical Outlook:

Bank Nifty remains strong above 55,150. A breakout above 56,100 may trigger further upside momentum towards 56,550–56,900. The structure still favors buy-on-dip traders, with dips near 55,300 likely to attract buyers.

A break below 54,900, however, can lead to a short-term slide toward 54,500 levels — but given stable VIX and firm PCR, the probability of deeper correction seems limited today.

🧮 Intraday Strategy for Bank Nifty:

Buy near support zone:

Entry Zone: 55,400–55,500
Stop Loss: 55,150
Targets: 55,950 / 56,100 / 56,250

Alternate Plan (Short Below Breakdown):

Sell below 54,900
Targets: 54,550 / 54,300
Stop Loss: 55,250

Trend Bias: Slightly Positive → Watch for breakout above 56,100 for momentum extension.

💰 Fin Nifty (Current: 26,643.45)

Fin Nifty is tracking the banking sector closely and currently trades near a short-term resistance zone. The structure is constructive as long as it sustains above 26,480.

Intraday Levels:

Support: 26,480 / 26,520
Resistance: 26,740 / 26,810

Intraday Strategy:

Buy above 26,680 → Target 26,810 / 26,880 | SL: 26,550
Sell below 26,520 → Target 26,420 / 26,350 | SL: 26,640

A move beyond 26,800 can unlock further strength towards 27,000+ levels in the coming days.

⏰ Important Timings to Watch (Intraday Triggers)

12:02 PM – Early institutional adjustments.
12:39 PM – Midday directional bias check.
1:13 PM – Momentum confirmation window.
2:21 PM – Profit booking or reversal phase.

These timings align with high-volume activity based on historical intraday data patterns. Expect short bursts of volatility near these marks.

📉 Sentiment Snapshot

Indicator	Current	Previous	Interpretation
FII Long Positions	7%	7%	Neutral
Nifty PCR	1.17	1.18	Range-bound bias
Bank Nifty PCR	1.15	1.13	Mildly bullish
India VIX	10.06	10.29	Stable sentiment

Overall sentiment reflects a calm but watchful market tone, ideal for range-based intraday trading.

📈 Outlook Summary

Nifty likely to trade between 24,750–25,200 range today.
Bank Nifty likely to remain steady above 55,200, aiming for 56,100 breakout.
Fin Nifty should hold above 26,480 to retain momentum.
Option writers may continue to dominate with short straddle or iron condor setups, given the low VIX environment.

🧠 Trading Psychology Tip of the Day

When markets consolidate near resistance but fail to break down despite multiple attempts, it’s often a sign of accumulation. Smart money typically enters during silent sessions. Keep a close eye on volume expansion near breakout levels — that’s your confirmation of strength.

🏁 Conclusion

The Indian stock market on 06 October 2025 presents a neutral-to-positive outlook. Traders are advised to maintain a buy-on-dip strategy with strict stop losses. Volatility remains subdued, giving positional traders a chance to accumulate quality stocks, while intraday traders can benefit from timing precision around key breakout points.

Stay focused on the 12:00–2:30 PM window, as that’s where most of the institutional volume may emerge today.

📌 For more real-time updates, trade setups, and investment insights — follow us on [Telegram] and [WhatsApp Channel] subscribe to our newsletter!

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Ranjit Sahoo
Founder & Chief Editor – CapitalKeeper.in

Ranjit Sahoo is the visionary behind CapitalKeeper.in, a leading platform for real-time market insights, technical analysis, and investment strategies. With a strong focus on Nifty, Bank Nifty, sector trends, and commodities, she delivers in-depth research that helps traders and investors make informed decisions.

Passionate about financial literacy, Ranjit blends technical precision with market storytelling, ensuring even complex concepts are accessible to readers of all levels. Her work covers pre-market analysis, intraday strategies, thematic investing, and long-term portfolio trends.

When he’s not decoding charts, Ranjit enjoys exploring coastal getaways and keeping an eye on emerging business themes.