Top Market Insights & Small-Cap Stock Action for 23–27June 2025 | CapitalKeeper Sunday Digest
By CapitalKeeper | Sunday Digest | Indian Sock Market | Market Moves That Matter I 22th June 2025
🌍 Global Cues – Mixed But Manageable
- US Markets:
Wall Street ended the week slightly higher with Dow Jones and Nasdaq holding gains, driven by easing inflation data and Fed commentary hinting at a pause in rate hikes.
➤ Implication: Positive for global equities, especially emerging markets like India. - Asian Markets:
Japan’s Nikkei continued strong, while Chinese stocks saw minor corrections due to mixed industrial output and credit data.
➤ Implication: Indian markets may see rotational flows from foreign institutions into growth pockets. - Crude Oil:
Brent hovers around $83, showing stability. This reduces pressure on India’s import bill. - USD-INR:
INR remains stable around ₹83.45, aiding sentiment for FPIs.
🇮🇳 Indian Market Summary: Week Gone By
- NIFTY 50: Consolidated between 24,900–25,300.
- BANK NIFTY: Showed relative strength, closing near 56,000.
- India VIX: Remains below 14, suggesting continued calm.
🔎 Key Observations
- FII Index Long Position: Slight rise to 22% from 19% — mild positive bias.
- Nifty PCR: At 1.03 — balanced sentiment.
- Bank Nifty PCR: At 0.72 — bullish bias building up.
- India VIX: 14.25 — no panic selling expected.
🔼 What Worked: Mid & Small Cap Momentum
Last week, mid-cap and small-cap stocks outperformed, particularly in:
- Defence & Railways: Titagarh, BEML, BEL
- Capital Goods: Elgi Equip, AIA Engineering
- Power & Infra: NTPC, KEC Intl, IRCON
- Textiles & Chemicals: Gokex, Deepak Fert
Expect this rotation to continue early this week, especially as large-cap consolidation continues.
🧾 CapitalKeeper’s Week Ahead Outlook (23–27 June 2025)
📌 Index View
| Index | Immediate Support | Resistance Range | View |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY 50 | 24,850 / 24,700 | 25,300 / 25,500 | Rangebound / Buy on dips |
| BANK NIFTY | 55,500 / 54,900 | 56,300 / 57,200 | Positive Bias |
| FIN NIFTY | 26,400 / 26,200 | 26,800 / 27,000 | Accumulation Mode |
📊 Sector Outlook: Rotation Play
🚀 Likely Outperformers
- PSU Banks: Canara Bank, BoB, SBI
- Energy & Power: Tata Power, NTPC
- Midcap Pharma: Strides, Granules
- Rail Infra/Defence: IRCON, BEML, HAL
- Capital Goods: KEC, Bharat Bijlee, Elgi Equip
💤 Likely Underperformers
- Metals – Weak global demand
- FMCG – Valuation concerns
- Select IT Stocks – Earnings season caution
- Private Banks – Consolidation phase
💹 Trading Strategy for the Week
- Avoid Index Shorting: Low VIX and FII long build-up suggest downside is limited.
- Focus on Breakouts: Particularly in mid-cap momentum names with volume confirmation.
- Trail Profits Actively: Lock-in gains as profit-booking expected at higher levels.
- Avoid Overexposure: Stick to technically strong setups with tight stop losses.
📈 Mid & Small-Cap Radar (Actionable Stocks)
| Stock | CMP | Technical Signal | View |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITI Ltd | ₹309 | Trendline breakout, MACD +ve | Target: ₹350–₹375 |
| Snowman Log | ₹59 | Volume surge, breakout zone | Target: ₹66–₹72 |
| Elgi Equip | ₹510 | RSI & MACD bullish divergence | Target: ₹585–₹600 |
| Clean Science | ₹1406 | Weekly MACD divergence, breakout | Target: ₹1550–₹1600 |
| MHRIL | ₹337 | Trendline breakout, support ₹320 | Target: ₹400–₹420 |
🧠 Tips for New Traders
- Master 2–3 indicators: Don’t overload. Start with RSI, MACD & Support/Resistance.
- Review Weekly Charts: Look beyond intraday noise.
- Track Volume: No breakout is valid without strong volume.
- Follow CapitalKeeper Daily Updates: Consistency > Complication.
🧾 Summary View
- Expect sector rotation and stock-specific action to continue.
- Stay focused on mid & small caps with breakout confirmation.
- Global cues remain neutral to mildly positive.
- RBI rate cycle is done for now — liquidity to favor growth.
📌 For more real-time updates, trade setups, and investment insights — follow us on [Telegram] and subscribe to our newsletter!
📌 Disclaimer
The content provided on CapitalKeeper.in is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, trading, or financial advice. While we strive to present accurate and up-to-date market data and analysis, we make no warranties or representations regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of the information.
Stock market investments are subject to market risks, and readers/investors are advised to conduct their own due diligence or consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions. CapitalKeeper and its authors are not liable for any loss or damage, direct or indirect, arising from the use of this information.
All views and opinions expressed are personal and do not reflect the official policy or position of any agency or organization. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
By using this website, you agree to the terms of this disclaimer.
CapitalKeeper | Turning Market Noise into Market Wisdom
🔗 Visit CapitalKeeper.in