Indian Stock Market Weekly Wrap (Aug 4–8, 2025): Nifty, Bank Nifty, INR & Commodity Outlook
By CapitalKeeper | Weekly Wrap Up | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Indian markets closed lower for the second straight week (Aug 4–8, 2025) as Nifty slipped below 24,400. Here’s a detailed weekly wrap with INR, commodity trends, and forecasts for the week ahead.
Market Overview
The Indian equity markets ended the week of August 4 to August 8, 2025, in negative territory, weighed down by selling in banking, IT, and metal counters. Investors maintained a cautious stance amid global growth concerns, rising crude oil prices, and foreign portfolio outflows.
At the start of the week on Monday (Aug 4), the benchmarks opened higher Nifty at 24,596.05, Bank Nifty at 55,557.50, Sensex at 80,765.83, and Fin Nifty at 26,507.20 tracking positive Asian cues. However, by Friday’s close (Aug 8), selling pressure pushed indices lower, with Nifty settling at 24,363.30, Bank Nifty at 55,004.90, Sensex at 79,857.79, and Fin Nifty at 26,167.35.
Weekly Performance Snapshot
| Index | Monday Open | Friday Close | Weekly Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | 24,596.05 | 24,363.30 | -0.94% |
| Sensex | 80,765.83 | 79,857.79 | -1.12% |
| Bank Nifty | 55,557.50 | 55,004.90 | -0.99% |
| Fin Nifty | 26,507.20 | 26,167.35 | -1.28% |
The mid-cap and small-cap indices showed resilience, outperforming large-caps as retail investors continued to chase select sectoral stories, particularly in defence, renewable energy, and pharmaceuticals.
Sector-Wise Market Analysis
Banking & Financials
Bank Nifty slipped nearly 1% for the week as heavyweight lenders like HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank faced profit-booking after their Q1 results. While asset quality remained stable, concerns about net interest margin compression due to high-cost deposits weighed on sentiment. PSU banks, however, held ground with modest gains.
IT & Technology
IT stocks were under pressure as the US economic data hinted at slower corporate tech spending. Infosys, TCS, and Wipro saw mild corrections, while mid-tier IT stocks remained range-bound.
Metals & Mining
The metal pack witnessed selling pressure after weak Chinese manufacturing PMI data triggered concerns about global demand. Steel majors like Tata Steel and JSW Steel faced declines, but aluminium producers found support from rising LME prices.
Energy & Oil
Crude oil prices surged past $88/barrel, sparking inflationary concerns. Reliance Industries traded mixed as strong refining margins were offset by weak petrochemical spreads.
Defence & Green Energy
Defence PSUs such as HAL and BEL saw strong traction on new order inflows, while green energy names like Adani Green and Tata Power gained on policy support for renewable capacity expansion.
Indian Rupee (INR) Update
The Indian Rupee weakened slightly against the US Dollar, ending the week at ₹83.42/USD, down from ₹83.25 a week earlier. Dollar strength was supported by robust US payroll data, while higher crude prices weighed on the INR.
Commodity Market Recap
Gold
Gold prices stayed steady, closing near ₹72,850 per 10 gm in MCX, as geopolitical tensions kept safe-haven demand intact despite a stronger dollar.
Silver
Silver prices edged higher to ₹88,100/kg, supported by industrial demand optimism in solar panel manufacturing.
Crude Oil
Crude oil rallied to ₹7,080/barrel on MCX amid supply cuts from OPEC+ and persistent geopolitical risk premium.
Key Drivers for the Week
- Global Cues: Weak China data and volatile crude prices influenced market sentiment.
- Earnings Season: Mixed Q1 results from large-cap companies created stock-specific action.
- FII Outflows: Foreign institutional investors turned net sellers for the week.
- Macro Data: Stable inflation but rising WPI added to market caution.
Technical Analysis – Nifty & Bank Nifty
Nifty 50
- Support: 24,250 – 24,100
- Resistance: 24,600 – 24,750
Nifty slipped below the 20-day EMA, indicating short-term weakness. A sustained move below 24,250 could open the door to 24,000 levels.
Bank Nifty
- Support: 54,800 – 54,500
- Resistance: 55,800 – 56,200
Bank Nifty remains in a consolidation zone. A decisive close above 56,200 may trigger fresh momentum.
Forecast for the Week Ahead (Aug 11–14, 2025)
- Market Direction:
The short-term trend remains cautious with a sideways-to-downward bias. Traders should watch for volatility due to global macroeconomic data releases. - Sectors to Watch:
- Positive Bias: Defence, renewable energy, select mid-cap pharmaceuticals.
- Cautious: IT, metals, large-cap banks.
- Key Events:
- US inflation data release
- India IIP and CPI data
- Crude oil inventory report
- Commodity Outlook:
- Gold may remain range-bound between ₹72,500–₹73,200.
- Crude oil could test ₹7,200 if supply tightness continues.
- INR Watch:
Rupee could remain under pressure if crude sustains above $88/barrel.
Conclusion
The week of Aug 4–8, 2025, was a reality check for Indian markets as global headwinds and local profit-booking dragged indices lower. While the broader structure of the market remains healthy, short-term consolidation appears likely before a fresh breakout. Investors should remain selective, focusing on fundamentally strong sectors while keeping an eye on global commodity and currency trends.
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Ranjit Sahoo
Founder & Chief Editor – CapitalKeeper.in
Ranjit Sahoo is the visionary behind CapitalKeeper.in, a leading platform for real-time market insights, technical analysis, and investment strategies. With a strong focus on Nifty, Bank Nifty, sector trends, and commodities, she delivers in-depth research that helps traders and investors make informed decisions.
Passionate about financial literacy, Ranjit blends technical precision with market storytelling, ensuring even complex concepts are accessible to readers of all levels. Her work covers pre-market analysis, intraday strategies, thematic investing, and long-term portfolio trends.
When he’s not decoding charts, Ranjit enjoys exploring coastal getaways and keeping an eye on emerging business themes.
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