Crypto Market Pulse (18 Oct 2025): Bitcoin Rebounds Above $107K as Bulls Reclaim Momentum Amid Fearful Sentiment
By CapitalKeeper | Pre Market Opening | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Crypto markets recovered on 18 October 2025, with Bitcoin rising above $107K and Ethereum reclaiming $3,880. Despite fear dominating sentiment (Index at 25), technical indicators hint at a short-term bullish reversal. Read full technical and sentiment analysis.
🚀 Crypto Market Pulse – 18 October 2025
Fear Persists, but Prices Recover: Bitcoin Leads the Bounce as Traders Eye Key Resistance Zones
After a sharp correction earlier in the week, the crypto market showed a mild recovery on 18 October 2025, signaling the first signs of stabilization amid ongoing fear. The global crypto market cap climbed to $3.63 trillion, up 2.63%, while the Fear & Greed Index remained low at 25, suggesting that the sentiment is still fearful, yet stabilizing.
The day’s rebound was led by Bitcoin (BTC), which crossed back above $107,000, and Ethereum (ETH), which jumped over 3% to $3,881. Altcoins like BNB, SOL, and XRP also joined the recovery wave, reflecting renewed buying interest at lower levels.
💹 1. Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis
- Price: $107,129
- 24h Change: +1.38%
- Market Cap: $2.13 Trillion
After two consecutive red sessions, Bitcoin regained bullish traction, reclaiming the $107K zone, which had earlier acted as a short-term resistance. The bounce indicates that buyers are defending the $104K–$105K support region effectively.
🔍 Technical Observations:
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): 51 — neutral zone; shows balanced momentum after oversold conditions.
- MACD: Shows a fresh bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart.
- Bollinger Bands: Price rebounded from the lower band near $104K, aiming toward the midline resistance at $108.5K.
📈 Key Technical Levels:
- Support: $105,000 / $102,800
- Resistance: $108,600 / $110,200
- 200-Day EMA: $96,400
Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim and sustain above $107,000 indicates short-covering and dip-buying interest. However, to confirm a trend reversal, BTC must close above $108,600 on the daily chart.
The on-chain data also show mild accumulation, with exchange outflows up 3% — often an early signal of investor confidence returning.
⚙️ 2. Ethereum (ETH) Technical Overview
- Price: $3,881
- 24h Change: +3.10%
- Market Cap: $467.57 Billion
Ethereum rebounded sharply, outperforming Bitcoin on a percentage basis. The strong buying near $3,700 support has led to renewed optimism among traders who view this as a potential higher-low setup.
🔍 Indicator Insights:
- RSI: 54 — shifting from bearish to neutral; suggests increasing buying interest.
- MACD: Histogram turning positive, signaling fresh momentum.
- Fibonacci Retracement: ETH has reclaimed above the 0.382 retracement zone, a key bullish sign.
📈 Key Levels:
- Support: $3,750 / $3,680
- Resistance: $3,920 / $4,000
- Short-Term Target: $4,050–$4,100
If Ethereum sustains above $3,850, the next upside zone lies near $4,000, which also coincides with its trendline resistance from the early October high.
The ETH/BTC pair shows slight relative strength, indicating capital rotation back into altcoins after several days of Bitcoin dominance.
📊 3. Altcoin Index & Market Breadth
- Altcoin Index: 24/100 (▼ slightly lower but stabilizing)
Despite a minor drop in the Altcoin Index, several large-cap altcoins posted green closes, signaling selective recovery. The index remains below 30 — still in the oversold zone, hinting at undervaluation in quality altcoins.
Top Gainers:
- BNB: +3.54% to $1,096
- SOL: +3.82% to $185.88
- XRP: +4.58% to $2.37
- DOGE: +3.23% to $0.1877
- ADA: +3.05% to $0.6338
These altcoins showed strong volume-backed recoveries, especially BNB and SOL, suggesting that investors are stepping back into fundamentally solid names.
Market Breadth:
- 73 out of the top 100 coins closed positive.
- Average gain: +2.8%
- Mid-cap DeFi tokens also turned slightly positive after three bearish days.
😨 4. Fear & Greed Index – 25 (Extreme Fear)
Even as prices recovered, the Fear & Greed Index at 25 reveals that market participants remain cautious.
This “fearful recovery” scenario typically occurs in early-stage rebounds when price action improves, but sentiment lags behind — often creating undervalued entry points for long-term investors.
Sentiment Breakdown:
- Social media sentiment: Improving slightly, with bullish mentions of “BTC dip-buying” trending on X (Twitter).
- Funding rates: Neutral to slightly negative — showing that leveraged traders are still conservative.
- Derivatives OI (Open Interest): Up 1.7%, hinting that fresh longs are entering the market cautiously.
Historically, a Fear Index reading between 20–30 during price stability often precedes short-term trend reversals. Hence, if this fear persists alongside steady prices, a stronger recovery may follow in the coming sessions.
🌐 5. Market Capitalization & Dominance
- Global Crypto Market Cap: $3.63T (+2.63%)
- CMC20 Index: $230.33 (+2.39%)
- BTC Dominance: 58.7% (slightly down)
The uptick in total market capitalization confirms that money is flowing back into crypto, led by top assets. The slight dip in Bitcoin dominance suggests altcoin inflows, aligning with the rise in ETH, SOL, and BNB.
Meanwhile, stablecoin supply remains unchanged, indicating no major risk-off moves from institutions. The CMC20 index, tracking the top 20 cryptos, posted a 2.39% gain — a sign that the broader market is regaining balance after volatility.
📈 6. Technical & Sentiment Summary Table
| Metric | Reading (18 Oct 2025) | Sentiment | Observation |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC Price | $107,129 | Mild Bullish | Rebounded from $105K support |
| ETH Price | $3,881 | Bullish | Broke above $3,850 key zone |
| Altcoin Index | 24 | Bearish (Oversold) | Suggests undervalued altcoins |
| Fear & Greed | 25 | Fear | Contrarian bullish setup forming |
| Market Cap | $3.63T | Stable | 2.63% daily growth |
| CMC20 Index | 230.33 | Positive | Rebound from previous low |
📉 7. Short-Term Technical Outlook (Next 3–5 Days)
| Crypto | Bias | Target Zone | Support | Resistance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC) | Neutral to Bullish | $108,500–$110,200 | $105,000 | $110,000 |
| Ethereum (ETH) | Bullish | $4,000–$4,050 | $3,750 | $3,950 |
| BNB | Bullish | $1,120 | $1,060 | $1,120 |
| Solana (SOL) | Bullish | $192 | $180 | $190 |
| XRP | Neutral | $2.40 | $2.25 | $2.45 |
Overall, momentum indicators have turned neutral from oversold zones, suggesting that the market is building a base for a potential short-term recovery.
However, traders should monitor Bitcoin’s $108K resistance closely — a daily close above this could spark a mini-rally toward $110K–$111K.
🧭 8. Analyst’s View: Sentiment-Driven Recovery in Progress
The market structure on 18 October 2025 indicates that fear remains dominant, but technicals are improving. This kind of divergence between price recovery and weak sentiment has historically preceded trend continuation phases.
Key observations:
- Fear remains but volatility has cooled.
- RSI recovering from oversold territory.
- Volume supports the rebound.
- Altcoins showing early rotation signs.
Traders should look for confirmation candles above major resistance levels before taking aggressive positions. Long-term investors can start accumulating selectively in phases, focusing on blue-chip cryptos like BTC, ETH, and SOL.
🏁 Final Thoughts: Crypto’s Fearful Comeback
The Crypto Market Pulse for 18 October 2025 captures a turning point — a technical rebound amid fearful sentiment. While prices have stabilized, the market remains cautious, creating a perfect blend of opportunity and risk.
Bitcoin’s resilience above $107K, Ethereum’s recovery, and the mild uptick in altcoins all suggest that the correction phase might be nearing exhaustion.
If the Fear Index rises toward 30–35 next week and BTC sustains above $108K, a mini bullish continuation rally could unfold heading into late October.
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