August 2025 Futures Strategy: Nifty, Bank Nifty & Top Stock Picks – Premium Outlook
By CapitalKeeper | Pre Market Opening | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
August Futures Strategy Report – Nifty, Bank Nifty, Fin Nifty & Top Stock Futures
(Valid from 1 August 2025 – 28 August 2025)
Overview
July series closed with Nifty holding 24,650 support and rolling over into August with a bullish undertone. Bank Nifty rollovers stood at 83% (3-month high), while Fin Nifty showed strong accumulation. Global cues remain stable post Fed policy pause, shifting focus to RBI policy and US CPI data in August.
1. Executive Summary
- July series ended with Nifty holding 24,650 key support and closing near 24,770.
- Rollovers: Nifty 79%, Bank Nifty 83%, indicating strong bullish bias.
- Global Cues: US Fed paused rates; outlook dependent on inflation data; Asian markets stabilizing.
- Focus for August: Financials (Jio Finance, HDFC Bank), Autos (Tata Motors, M&M), FMCG (ITC).
- Strategy: Positional longs near support; cautious on IT sector weakness.
2. Index Futures Analysis
Nifty Futures
- July Close: 24,768
- Support: 24,650 – 24,550
- Resistance: 25,050 – 25,200
- Strategy:
- Buy dips near 24,600–24,650 with SL 24,450.
- Target 25,000 – 25,150 in August.
- OI Trend: Put writing at 24,500 & 24,700; CE unwinding at 25,000.
Bank Nifty Futures
- July Close: 55,961
- Support: 55,700 – 55,400
- Resistance: 56,600 – 56,900
- Strategy:
- Long positions on dip to 55,700–55,800; SL 55,400.
- Targets 56,600 – 57,000.
- Bullish Rollovers: HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Bank.
Fin Nifty Futures
- July Close: 26,649
- Support: 26,500 – 26,350
- Resistance: 26,900 – 27,050
- Strategy:
- Accumulate longs on 26,500 support; target 27,000+.
3. Stock Futures – Top 10 Picks for August
Bullish Futures
- Jio Finance – Breakout above ₹330; targets ₹350–355.
- Tata Motors – Support at ₹650; targets ₹690–710.
- ITC – Support at ₹402; targets ₹455–460.
- HDFC Bank – Positive rollover; buy near ₹2005; target ₹2,120.
- M&M – Strong auto sales; buy near ₹3,205; target ₹3,400.
Cautious / Bearish Futures
- Infosys – Weak IT sentiment; sell on rise to ₹1,600; target ₹1,440.
- Wipro – Range-bound; resistance ₹280; downside to ₹220.
- Hindalco – Metals weak globally; sell on rise to ₹690; target ₹610.
Range-Bound Futures
- Reliance Industries – Watch results impact; range 1,380–1,450.
- Axis Bank – Neutral bias; trade range 1,040–1,140.
4. Sectoral Outlook – August
- Bullish Sectors: Financials, Auto, FMCG
- Neutral Sectors: Energy, Pharma
- Bearish Sectors: IT, Metals
5. Key Event Triggers in August
- RBI Monetary Policy (Early August)
- US CPI Data (Mid-August)
- India Q1 GDP numbers (End August)
- Crude oil price trend & global bond yield movements
6. Trading Strategy
For Positional Traders
- Focus on buying dips near supports in financials and auto sectors.
- Hedge portfolios with protective puts around 24,500 (Nifty).
For Intraday Traders
- Use volatility spikes on event days (RBI policy, US data) for quick trades.
- Track OI buildup in weekly options for directional bias.
7. Risk Management
- Avoid over-leveraging due to event-heavy August calendar.
- Maintain strict stop-loss discipline (1-2%).
- Diversify exposure across 2-3 sectors (don’t go all-in on IT or metals).
Conclusion
August series begins with bullish undertone as Nifty defended 24,650 support. Financials and autos remain in focus for upside momentum; IT and metals need caution. Expect 25,000–25,150 zone to be tested if global cues remain supportive.
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