Opening Bell & Weekly Wrap: Indian Stock Market Outlook by CapitalKeeper
Date: May 26, 2025
Author: CapitalKeeper | Market Moves That Matter
The Indian stock market opened on a cautious note this Monday, following a week of mixed performance driven by global cues, corporate earnings, and macroeconomic indicators. The NSE Nifty 50 began slightly lower around 22,420, while the BSE Sensex opened at 74,100. However, volatility remains as traders gear up for expiry week and await key data points from the US and Europe.
Week in Review: How the Market Performed
Last week, benchmark indices were largely range-bound. While bulls tried to push higher, consistent profit booking in large caps capped gains. The Nifty closed the week with a marginal gain of 0.42%, while the Bank Nifty struggled to break above 48,000 and remained under selling pressure.
Here’s a breakdown of sector-wise market performance:
Sector-Wise Weekly Performance Analysis
1. Banking & Financials
Weekly Sentiment: Neutral to Weak
Private banks like ICICI and Axis showed resilience, while PSU banks saw mild corrections. Bank Nifty continues to face stiff resistance at 48,000. The RSI remains near 52, and MACD is flat, suggesting indecision. Traders should be cautious ahead of the monthly expiry.
2. IT Sector
Weekly Sentiment: Positive
The Nifty IT index gained over 1.8% for the week, with TCS, Infosys, and Tech Mahindra leading the charge. With the US tech rally continuing and the INR remaining steady, IT stocks saw increased FII inflows. RSI and MACD both show upward momentum, making it a good short-term pick.
3. FMCG
Weekly Sentiment: Stable
This defensive sector saw sideways movement. HUL and Britannia stayed range-bound amid inflation concerns. Most stocks in the FMCG pack are consolidating, with RSI levels between 48–52, showing neutral bias.
4. Auto Sector
Weekly Sentiment: Bullish
Maruti, Tata Motors, and TVS Motors posted strong weekly gains, fueled by robust monthly delivery reports and cooling commodity prices. RSI has moved above 60, and MACD indicates strong bullish divergence. Short-term outlook remains bullish.
5. Metals & Mining
Weekly Sentiment: Cautious
Metal stocks like Tata Steel and Hindalco faced profit booking despite earlier gains. China demand concerns and a drop in global steel prices weighed down sentiment. Avoid fresh longs unless clear support levels hold.
6. Realty
Weekly Sentiment: Bullish
The Nifty Realty index gained 2.5% on expectations of robust housing demand and strong quarterly reports. DLF, Godrej Properties, and Sobha Ltd led the gains. This sector looks attractive for swing traders.
Opening Bell Highlights: Monday Market Sentiment
Today’s opening bell saw some hesitation with indices in the red, but broader market strength was seen in small caps and midcaps. Here are key movements:
- Nifty Midcap 100: Trading higher by 0.6%, showing retail interest.
- Volatility Index (India VIX): Spiked to 13.4, indicating potential choppy sessions ahead.
- FII/DII Activity: FIIs remained net sellers on Friday, while DIIs continued their support in select blue-chips.
Top Gainers (Week-End)
- TVS Motor – +6.1%
- Tech Mahindra – +4.8%
- DLF Ltd – +4.5%
- Tata Motors – +4.2%
- Infosys – +3.9%
Top Losers (Week-End)
- Tata Steel – -2.4%
- HUL – -1.9%
- Kotak Mahindra Bank – -1.7%
CapitalKeeper’s Takeaway for the Week Ahead
With expiry week around the corner and global economic data lined up, markets are likely to remain volatile. Traders should focus on strong sectors like IT, Realty, and Auto, while being cautious in Banking and Metals.
CapitalKeeper continues to provide daily updates, RSI/MACD insights, and sector-wise momentum scans for both short-term traders and long-term investors. We encourage new investors to follow disciplined trading rules and subscribe to our newsletter for curated intraday picks and investment strategies.
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