Pre Market 01st October 2025: Nifty, Bank Nifty Outlook, RBI Policy, Stocks to Buy Today
By CapitalKeeper | Pre Market Opening | Indian Equities | Market Moves That Matter
Pre Market 01st October 2025: Indian Stock Market Outlook, Sector Cues & Stock Picks
Get the Pre Market update for 1st October 2025 – Nifty, Bank Nifty, Sensex, Fin Nifty, and Gift Nifty trends. Sector-wise analysis, global cues, and top stock ideas including Sona Comstar, BHEL, Federal Bank, and Vedanta.
📊 Market Recap (30th Sept 2025)
The Indian equity market ended September on a mixed note as investors balanced month-end derivatives expiry with caution ahead of the RBI policy outcome.
- Nifty 50 closed at 24,611.10 (-0.10%)
- Bank Nifty closed at 54,635.85 (+0.32%)
- Sensex settled at 80,267.62 (-0.12%)
- Fin Nifty closed at 26,022.10 (+0.14%)
Despite mild selling in frontline IT and FMCG counters, selective buying in banks and energy stocks supported the indices. The tug-of-war between global risk sentiment and domestic liquidity kept volatility high.
🌍 Global & Gift Nifty Cues
- Gift Nifty is trading mildly higher around 24,640-24,670 levels, hinting at a stable to positive start for Indian equities.
- US Markets: The Dow and S&P 500 ended flat amid cautious Fed commentary on inflation.
- Europe: Mixed closing as Eurozone inflation data raised concerns on ECB’s next move.
- Asia: Nikkei and Hang Seng are trading marginally positive, giving a supportive backdrop for Dalal Street.
- Dollar Index & Crude: The Dollar Index remains firm near 105, while Brent Crude hovers around $95 — a headwind for OMCs and import-heavy sectors.
🔑 Key Market Triggers
- RBI Monetary Policy (1st October): Investors will closely watch commentary on inflation, growth, and liquidity.
- FII Flows: FIIs have been net sellers in September, but DIIs cushioned the impact.
- Macro Data: Auto sales data for September and global PMI prints may add to market direction.
📌 Sector-Wise Outlook
- Banking & Financials ✅ – Momentum remains intact with Federal Bank, SBI, and Canara Bank on trader radar. RBI policy will be a key driver.
- Oil & Gas ⚠️ – Crude prices near $95 could pressure OMCs in the short term, though structural support remains from higher refining margins.
- Metals & Mining ✅ – Positive undertone as Vedanta (VEDL) and NMDC show accumulation signs.
- Capital Goods & Infra ✅ – BHEL looks strong with breakout potential. Infra push continues to drive order inflows.
- IT ❌ – Weak bias due to persistent visa fee issues and cautious global IT spending outlook.
🔥 Stocks to Watch (Technical Setup)
1. Sona Comstar (SONACOMS | CMP ₹411)
- The stock is reversing from lower levels, indicating short-term strength.
- View: Positive as long as it holds above day’s low.
- Bias: Short-term bullish with potential towards ₹430-440 zone.
2. BHEL Ltd (Close ₹239.90)
- Above ₹245, the stock looks ready for a breakout towards ₹280+.
- Support: ₹235 remains a key demand zone.
- Strategy: Buy on breakout above 245 with SL below 235.
3. Federal Bank (CMP ₹192.93)
- Options Trade: Buy October 200 CE @ ₹2.35.
- Cash View: SL below ₹188.
- Target: ₹200–208.
- Bank’s strong loan growth momentum and stable NIM outlook are supporting the structure.
4. Vedanta (VEDL | CMP ₹466)
- The stock has shown accumulation at lower levels.
- Buy Zone: Around current CMP.
- Target: ₹474
- Stop Loss: ₹461.
- Positive bias as metals pack remains strong.
📈 Index Technical Analysis
Nifty 50 (CMP 24,611.10)
- Support: 24,480 / 24,350
- Resistance: 24,750 / 24,880
- View: Consolidation likely before RBI policy outcome. A breakout above 24,750 could open the gate for 25,000+.
Bank Nifty (CMP 54,635.85)
- Support: 54,200 / 53,800
- Resistance: 55,200 / 55,800
- View: Strong structure; can outperform if policy commentary is favorable.
Sensex (CMP 80,267.62)
- Support: 79,800 / 79,250
- Resistance: 80,800 / 81,300
- View: Trading near resistance, breakout confirmation needed.
Fin Nifty (CMP 26,022.10)
- Support: 25,800 / 25,600
- Resistance: 26,250 / 26,450
- View: Positive undertone; may extend gains if banking remains strong.
🎯 Pre Market Strategy for Traders
- Focus on banking, infra, and metals for long trades.
- Keep IT and high-crude-sensitive stocks on caution.
- Options Strategy: Buying Bank Nifty or Nifty CEs with tight stop-loss could reward if RBI commentary surprises positively.
- Avoid aggressive shorts until Nifty breaches 24,350 decisively.
📢 Conclusion
The Indian market opens October series with heightened expectations from the RBI policy outcome. While global cues remain neutral to slightly supportive, domestic flows and sector-specific momentum (banks, infra, and metals) could drive the day. Stock-specific opportunities like Sona Comstar, BHEL, Federal Bank, and Vedanta look favorable for short-term gains.
Traders should maintain a buy-on-dips approach with strict stop-loss discipline ahead of event-driven volatility.
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Ranjit Sahoo
Founder & Chief Editor – CapitalKeeper.in
Ranjit Sahoo is the visionary behind CapitalKeeper.in, a leading platform for real-time market insights, technical analysis, and investment strategies. With a strong focus on Nifty, Bank Nifty, sector trends, and commodities, she delivers in-depth research that helps traders and investors make informed decisions.
Passionate about financial literacy, Ranjit blends technical precision with market storytelling, ensuring even complex concepts are accessible to readers of all levels. Her work covers pre-market analysis, intraday strategies, thematic investing, and long-term portfolio trends.
When he’s not decoding charts, Ranjit enjoys exploring coastal getaways and keeping an eye on emerging business themes.
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